About AI's theme coin (token)...

209

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It seems that AI themes are currently classified into 5.

I will explain the coin (token) with the highest market capitalization in each theme.

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(NEARUSDT 1D chart)
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NEAR is classified as an AI & Big Data theme.

In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be maintained above 3.756 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.

Since OBV has broken through the upper line of the Price channel, the point to watch is whether it can continue to rise.

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(FETUSDT.P 1D chart)
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FET is classified as an AI Agents theme.

The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 0.848.

Since OBV is passing through the middle line of the Price channel, we should see whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.

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(VIRTUALUSDT.P 1D chart)
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VIRTUAL is the No. 1 market cap ranking of the AI ​​Agent Launchpad theme.

The key is whether it can maintain the price near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and rise to around 1.1602.

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(FARTCOINUSDT.P 1D chart)
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FARTCOIN is classified as AI Memes theme.

The key is whether the price can be maintained around the Fibonacci ratio 0.236 (0.6228) and rise to around 1.4148.

If it fails to rise, it should check for support around 0.3822.

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(TAOUSDT 1D chart)
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TAO is classified as Generative AI theme.

The key is whether it can be maintained by receiving support around 271.1 and rising above 312.5.

In the meantime, it should be checked whether it can rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.

If the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises above and the price is maintained, it is expected to turn into an upward trend.

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Most coins (tokens) are showing the same flow as the coins (tokens) above.

This shows that the current section is an important turning point.

I think that in order to survive this important turning point and turn into an upward trend, an increase in trading volume must accompany it.

Therefore, I think it would be a good idea to check the current trading volume status by checking the flow of OBV of each coin (token).

There are three ways to interpret the OBV indicator.
1. If OBV is rising from the 0 point, it is an increase in buying power, and if it is falling, it is an increase in selling power.

2. If OBV is located above the EMA line of OBV, it is highly likely that buying power will increase, and if not, it is highly likely that selling power will increase.

3. Applying the formula of the Price channel to OBV, if each Price channel line breaks upward, there is a high possibility that the buying force will increase, and if it breaks downward, there is a high possibility that the selling force will increase.

In addition to the interpretation of 1, 2 and 3 can be interpreted as the possibility that the price will rise when the buying force increases, and the possibility that the price will fall when the selling force increases.

In 1, the price area around the 0 point is considered the selling area (volume profile) and is likely to play the role of support and resistance points.

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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.

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- ​​This is an explanation of the big picture.

I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.

I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).

(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
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Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.

In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.

Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.

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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
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Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).

It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).

(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
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I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.

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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.

The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.

In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.

Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).

Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.

To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).

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If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.

So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).

I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.

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Note
(About the HA Close indicator...)
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Charts have a tendency to converge to the median or average.

Therefore, most indicators use the tendency to return to the median or average as an interpretation method.

In that sense, I wanted to express the Heikin-Ashi Close, which is the median of the 1M, 1W, and 1D chart candles, to check the change in trend.

The Heikin-Ashi Close is calculated as (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4.

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