🔍Today's analysis focuses on Near, which experienced a rejection from the weekly resistance at $8.39 on the first day of the week. The rejection candle engulfs the previous three candles, indicating strong resistance. However, it's noteworthy that the volume of the rejection candle is lower than the preceding candle, suggesting significant resistance despite a surge in buying volume failing to breach the resistance barrier.
🌪Since March 11th, Near has been consolidating within a range, with the weekly resistance at $8.39 and the support at the 38% Fibonacci level. Both levels exhibit considerable strength, but a preference for a downward correction is apparent from the price action, given the dominance of red candles, potentially stalling the upward momentum. Nonetheless, the weekly and daily trends remain bullish, capable of easily reversing the sentiment on the 4-hour timeframe if the resistance is breached. Therefore, vigilance is required to avoid missing out on potential gains.
📉For short positions, the 38% Fibonacci level serves as a trigger, but it carries significant risk, necessitating careful risk management. Quick profit-taking is advised if the level is breached, as it may signify the beginning of a market downturn, with sellers yet to fully assert their control.
📈For long positions, awaiting confirmation within the golden Fibonacci zone or entering after the $8.39 resistance is breached is recommended. Moreover, if the RSI can break above the 62.69 resistance and the price overcomes its weekly resistance, targeting $13 becomes plausible, potentially offering a risk-reward ratio of 10 with prudent stop-loss placement.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.