Green energy & ESG projects are still top of mind for many investors
We still remain above the 100 week moving average and in the green channel
“Only” trading 26x above earnings
Growing earnings at 8% a year
Paying a modest dividend of ~2%
Not much else I’m afraid…
WHY I’M BEARISH
The weekly RSI has just entered the bull zone
We’re perilously close to crossing below the 100 week moving average and on a declining trajectory
Very much overdue a correction
A normal P/E ratio would be in 15-18 ratio. This would price it back in the 30s.
Much better value stocks in the energy sector, paying much higher dividends.
NEE have traditionally paid as high as 4% yield going back to the early 2000’s, the decline to 1.6% in December 2021 may yet be “beaten” with an even lower yield this time out. This will likely turn away many savvy investors looking for underpriced value.
WHAT I’M DOING
Definitely NOT buying this stock, not even 30% off all-time highs
Will be wanting for the trigger to confirm in order to enter short in the coming days
First target would be $35, with a terminal target of $18 to come back and retest an important level. This would also coincide with the 0.618 fib off the entire 40 year move.
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