NEE - NextEra of ⬇️ Price Action

REMAINING REASONS TO BE BULLISH
  • Green energy & ESG projects are still top of mind for many investors
  • We still remain above the 100 week moving average and in the green channel
  • “Only” trading 26x above earnings
  • Growing earnings at 8% a year
  • Paying a modest dividend of ~2%
  • Not much else I’m afraid…


WHY I’M BEARISH
  • The weekly RSI has just entered the bull zone
  • We’re perilously close to crossing below the 100 week moving average and on a declining trajectory
  • Very much overdue a correction
  • A normal P/E ratio would be in 15-18 ratio. This would price it back in the 30s.
  • Much better value stocks in the energy sector, paying much higher dividends.
  • NEE have traditionally paid as high as 4% yield going back to the early 2000’s, the decline to 1.6% in December 2021 may yet be “beaten” with an even lower yield this time out. This will likely turn away many savvy investors looking for underpriced value.


WHAT I’M DOING
  • Definitely NOT buying this stock, not even 30% off all-time highs
  • Will be wanting for the trigger to confirm in order to enter short in the coming days
  • First target would be $35, with a terminal target of $18 to come back and retest an important level. This would also coincide with the 0.618 fib off the entire 40 year move.
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