Newmont rallied in March and April. Now, some traders may see potential for a breakout after two months of consolidation.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the May high of $44.59. The gold miner probed the level last week (after unemployment surprised to the upside) and its shares sat near it yesterday. Could a push above that resistance draw buyers from the sidelines?

Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in May. That could suggest its longer-term trend has grown more bullish.

Third, the lower study includes our 2 MA Ratio script with the default settings of the 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). Notice how the quicker EMA has risen above the slower EMA. That may suggest its shorter-term trend has grown more bullish.

Next is the high basing pattern in May and June and a falling trendline since June 20. Those could reflect a completed consolidation period resolving to the upside.

Finally, you have catalysts like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony in the Senate on Tuesday and the consumer price index (CPI) on Thursday morning. Bond yields have recently declined on hopes that inflation and interest rates are headed lower. This week’s events could confirm (or invalidate) those views, which could potentially impact NEM.

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