NatGas Extends Gains on Better Supply-Demand Equilibrium
Natural Gas prices run their second straight profitable month, covering the Q1 losses and starting the current week on the front foot. This brings the year’s highs in the spotlight (3.3974), but bulls will need fresh impetus for taking them out. The RSI points to highly overbought conditions though, making the commodity ripe for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). A move below them would pause the upside bias, but that looks like a toll order under current technical and fundamental conditions.
The advance in natural gas prices is largely due to the improvement in supply-demand dynamics, which can drive further gains. Leading drillers have offered subdued 2024 guidance, while Europe is looking to include LNG in its sanctions against Russia. On the other side of the equilibrium, the outlook on global and Chinese consumption is optimistic. However, there are risks around demand, like Europe’s cuts, China’s bumpy recovery, US elevated stocks and historically warm weather.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
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Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
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Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
The advance in natural gas prices is largely due to the improvement in supply-demand dynamics, which can drive further gains. Leading drillers have offered subdued 2024 guidance, while Europe is looking to include LNG in its sanctions against Russia. On the other side of the equilibrium, the outlook on global and Chinese consumption is optimistic. However, there are risks around demand, like Europe’s cuts, China’s bumpy recovery, US elevated stocks and historically warm weather.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: fxcm.com/uk/market-commentary/
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: fxcm.com/eu/market-commentary/
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: fxcm.com/au/market-commentary/
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: fxcm.com/markets/market-commentary/
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
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