NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Mar-2025

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๐Ÿ“… NIFTY TRADING PLAN โ€“ 20-Mar-2025
๐Ÿ•’ Timeframe: 15 Min | ๐Ÿ“Œ Reference Close: 22,911.80
๐Ÿ“ Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ points

๐Ÿ“ˆ 1. GAP-UP Opening Scenario (Opening Above 23,010)
If NIFTY opens 100+ points higher โ€” around or above 23,010 โ€” it enters the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 โ€“ 23,067.

โ€ƒโœ… Action Plan:
โ€ƒ- If Nifty opens in the 22,995โ€“23,067 zone, avoid aggressive long trades at open. This zone has historically triggered selling pressure.
โ€ƒ- Observe the behavior near 23,067. If candles start rejecting higher prices or form reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), plan short trades with SL just above 23,067.
โ€ƒ- If Nifty crosses 23,067 with momentum and volume, upside extension is possible toward 23,185 โ€” the Last Intraday Resistance.
โ€ƒ- Avoid shorting blindly above 23,067. Let price consolidate or form lower highs before initiating any counter-trend short.

โ€ƒ๐Ÿ“Œ Educational Note: Profit booking zones often create whipsaws. Let the market decide the intent before jumping in.

โ€ƒ๐Ÿšซ Don't chase gaps โ€” instead, wait for re-entry opportunities once price confirms direction.

๐Ÿ“Š 2. FLAT Opening Scenario (Between 22,850 โ€“ 22,950)
If NIFTY opens within a tight 40โ€“50 point range around its closing level (ยฑ50 points), it's considered a flat opening.

โ€ƒโœ… Action Plan:
โ€ƒ- Allow the market to settle for the first 15โ€“30 minutes. Avoid early entries.
โ€ƒ- If Nifty sustains above 22,995, we may see a quick move toward 23,067. One can consider intraday longs above 22,995 with a stop loss near 22,950.
โ€ƒ- If price faces rejection at 22,995 and drops below 22,912โ€“22,880 (previous close zone), short opportunities may arise toward 22,800 (Opening Support).
โ€ƒ- Keep an eye on 22,800 as it is a key intraday support. Breakdown below it can lead to a deeper fall toward 22,728 and 22,632.

โ€ƒ๐Ÿ“Œ Educational Note: Flat openings often provide the best setups if you let price action settle. Stay nimble and neutral till breakout/breakdown confirms.

๐Ÿ“‰ 3. GAP-DOWN Opening Scenario (Opening Below 22,812)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-down of 100+ points (around or below 22,812) โ€” look for action near support zones like 22,800, 22,728, and 22,632.

โ€ƒโœ… Action Plan:
โ€ƒ- If Nifty opens near 22,800 and holds, wait for a reversal pattern. Intraday long trades are possible toward 22,912+.
โ€ƒ- A clean breakdown below 22,728 (Last Intraday Support) may trigger a slide toward 22,632 (Buyerโ€™s Support).
โ€ƒ- Avoid catching falling knives. Only buy near 22,632 if thereโ€™s clear bullish reversal with volume confirmation.
โ€ƒ- If price opens below 22,728 and tries to retest and fails to reclaim that level, short trades can be considered with a stop above 22,728.

โ€ƒ๐Ÿ“Œ Educational Note: Big gap-downs often attract panic exits in the first 15 mins. Wait for a base to form before looking for reversal trades.

๐Ÿง  OPTIONS TRADING โ€“ RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS
  1. [] ๐Ÿ’ผ Use defined stop losses based on 15-min or 30-min candle close. Avoid emotional exits.
    [] โš–๏ธ Avoid buying deep OTM options during rangebound conditions โ€” prefer ATM or ITM for better delta control.
    [] ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Use hedged strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads during high IV scenarios.
    [] ๐Ÿ“‰ On breakdown or breakout days, trade with the trend using limited-risk directional strategies.
  2. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Never risk more than 1.5โ€“2% of capital per trade โ€” capital preservation is key for consistency.


๐Ÿ“Œ SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
  1. [] Gap-Up above 22,995: Profit booking zone. Wait for reversal signs or breakout to 23,185.
    [] Flat Opening: Best setups possible โ€” breakout above 22,995 or breakdown below 22,880.
  2. Gap-Down below 22,812: Watch 22,800โ€“22,632 support zones for potential reversal or breakdown.


๐ŸŽฏ Let price lead the way โ€” react, donโ€™t predict. Enter only on confirmation. Stay disciplined and respect the market structure.

๐Ÿ“ข Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any position.

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