S&P CNX NIFTY INDEX FUTURES
Education
Updated

Ignore the News

119
Any trend that covers a lot of points in very few bars, meaning that there is some combination of large bars and bars that overlap each other only minimally, will eventually have a pullback. These trends have such strong momentum that the odds favor resumption of the trend after the pullback and then a test of the trend’s extreme. Usually the extreme will be exceeded, as long as the pullback does not turn into a new trend in the opposite direction and extend beyond the start of the original trend. In general, the odds that a pullback will get back to the prior trend’s extreme fall substantially if the pullback retraces 75 percent or more.
Note
snapshot
Note
70% pullback
snapshot
Note
To a price action trader, a huge down move in a bull market is probably just a bull flag, unless the move is followed by a series of lower lows and lower highs. It could be followed by a bear flag and then more of a rally, but until the bear trend is confirmed, you must be aware that the larger weekly trend is more important.

snapshot
Note
Channel breakdown and test snapshot
Note
same logic 70% retracement. over bought zone. Reversal snapshot
Note
read oversold instead of overbought in above comment
Note
Gap up over median line; may come to test prior to upper parallel snapshot
Note
snapshot
Note
Measured move done and retraced more than 75% of last swing; may convert into a new trend. snapshot

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.