NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures
Short
Updated

NQ Short (04-16-25)

714
Staying with the Short, NAZ with a Gap up and a Gap down move in the off session (very little in the Reg). When the moves in the markets seem manufactured and happen in the O/N or off session, look Short. Looks like 18,400-300 is the Danger Zone here and below could be the express way lower. Should we get there, look Long 1st as the will U Turn it away (Gap, off session, Holiday, Dead Zone or any low volume period).
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IDS View
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KL 820 is now resistance, under 18,400-300 may try 17,700 in a flash. Expect some head fakes for the balance of this week, into Friday Close.
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YTD NDX play or should it pop above Diablo TL, it will have to stay above and not just rotate around as it goes lower. Any stall out move higher will most likely return to lower zone, anyway.
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Short to 18,400 looks good here. Watch it struggle to get lower with Push/Pull tricky PA. You will know when the Short trade is true when most lifts up stall and then drop.
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Struggle drop is on.
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Don't bail just trail it.
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Short scalp and looks like U Tun at 18,500 not 18,400. Crazy but still ell under TL
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These usually drop or retest. Just keep in mind that most trades or products are Long only, reason for consistent lift back up.
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626 retest and key to next move.
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Box is range for break out
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Another day of games in the Reg Session with very little force, looking for some force or this will drop with heavy force.
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Back later, just look back at every lift and how they just do not hold. Then look at when the lift took place and see the odd times, then you get the Gap open lower and that is the direction now, lower.
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Today could be a stop clean out and long trap set up al in one.
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Nasty evil price action with sloooow movement, hardest to trade.
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Just explain to me why these moves (minutes) keep showing up, then the slow decline. Many may view as stabilizing or propping back up. This may work for a bit but will not work when selling shows up. These are part of the struggling to get lower counter moves and are NOT strong buying.
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18,400-300 target the long way.
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18,300 and lower is express drop. The struggle drop is strange today. Under 18,300 is a major Danger Zone and may be why the NAZ is being propped back up today.
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Danger Zone break is near, you can see why the shake out. U Turn is next play if no drop, just watch head fake long.
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Will check back, lower is flash crash target should Uncle Bunker tweet some noise.
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Yesterday Posted, "No way to avoid the drop, it is eminent". Here we are and this is a KEY LEVEL to watch as we approach the O/N. Should the O/N change its tune, NAZ may be back to base of 17,700-500.
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18,340 is hold and back up or only 50% of drop range to KL 17,700.
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Flip a Coin.
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Expressway move under the DZ. Do Not BTD or FOMO this. Use a stop on any long if you are going that direction.
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Breaking News, White House with special release to be out near close. I am not joking, not sure a freight train can be stopped, better act quickly.
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Circle to the left is the 2,000 point Rig Pop Air Pocket, NAZ is inside this now. Will have to get out or retest the lower range and pop back up. No pop back up and we may see a new lower low. The Rig Pop was done by design to offset this drop and bought some time, that is about it as of now.
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Under 300 is key
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Trade closed manually
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Dropped about halfway and will need to get above top KL 18,175
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Current downtrend started 5 months ago or 12/17/24.
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18,200 retest by Open is likely. Friday the markets are closed so wildcard on this one. Usually we see a huge lift during long weekends, this one may be the opposite. Expect some breaking news from Washington Street to offset any drop.
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