It hasn’t made any sense for a long time now how the markets keep climbing. Manipulation? Self-perpetuation?
Honestly, who cares why. As the saying goes: “The dwarves dug too deep. And what they unearthed was their doom.” Or, in another version: “The greedy vultures flew too high, and all they found was gravity.”
In the chart, we see two pitchforks: The orange one highlights the actual overextension. The white one represents the moderated version.
Interpreting this image is simple if you have a rulebook you can trust—and a few decades of market experience under your belt. §8-)
1. **The price turns at the orange centerline.** This means the market is in "balance"—in the context of the overextension. Or… 2. **Put differently:** In the context of the white pitchfork, the market overshot the upper median line parallel. This was an overextension by a factor of 2.
**What do we do with this?** We stick to the rulebook for median lines.
The rulebook says that when the price trades above the U-MLH (upper median line parallel), fails to hold, and drops back into the fork, the market will fall to the next line.
- **Orange fork:** Down to the L-MLH (lower median line parallel). - **White fork:** Down to the centerline.
Beyond that, I **think/guess/predict/read-tea-leaves** that the market will fall much deeper in 2025.
Please note the distinction here: - The first statement is the projection—the interpretation of the chart. - The latter is a speculation (no crystal ball involved).
For me, it’s clear: medium-term **short** with multiple price targets.
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