Short

Updated

NQ Range (04-24-25)

NAZ is mid range of the insignificant churn zone. Rejected yesterday at ML (rejection zone) 19,150. This chart will through Monday close and will we see some off session magic tricks (or not) with the Friday-Monday Long only move. That magic trick will set up the Short at KL 20,250. This is assuming the pass near 19,200-300. No pass (2nd rejection) would set up the drop to 18,000 or so. This will either create a U Turn (with a tweet) or drop deeper out of range and into the Danger Zone. Reg Session sold off yesterday, O/N is lower now and above the gap open of 4/23. Gap fill drop or pop in the Reg. I will leave this open through Monday Close.

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Watch 875, KL from yesterday.

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19,000 and under or no pass is 1st drop test.

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19,085 is a Short

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Pop or Stop time.

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Lift from 626 seemed perfect, may be set up or pop out of here. stop at 19,210

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Moved it 250 and adding short at 205.

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Major pop or drop here.

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Almost mid Churn Zone and Reg is buying, not its things. Curveball?

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Here we go, welcome to the trading on The Edge.

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Back later, Shake out and drop or sideways to the O/N under high.

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Adding at 225, stop 300. Looking 1 way train ride up out of rejection zone but locked in for a pull back to get it back.

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Adding at 250 with stop at 400. 385 nay be next text level. Just not buying it and have some points to play with. Do Not Follow.

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The 1st Short level of 18,085 will be retested today or next day or so. I have these types of days once a quarter, look at 5 years of posts. The wins are less than losers. It seems that these days proceed the bigger counters moves, it all about the timing. Dropping now for break even.

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19,085 or lower range rejection zone.

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NAZ can move 1,000 points today. Don't worry it will repeat in the opposite direction in a day or so.

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Divergence building on the lift. These usually give it back in a day or so.

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Google reports, this could be a major lift or a sell the news. Just not feeling it, problem is many with these that I am correct but get the shake out (then it goes). We shall see.

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Stop off at 19,400 and Close Order at 19,050. Knee jerk up and then drop or reverse that.

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O/N had more action with selling than the Reg Session today. Strange, volume is also lowish today with this one sided move. The other side will show up, maybe in tomorrow Reg?

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No shake out or drop, strange.

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4/25 Update, The play today will be the typical Friday - Monday Long lift toward 20,300 or 1,000 from here. Sounds crazy, I will place Longs to counter my Shorts should NAZ get above 19,500 (Freeze/Hedge). Whatever the case, a no go lift may drop test or head south should the F-M not play out and profit taking shows up. Drop test to 19,200-100 is likely.

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Divergence letting out here. May lead to Pop near Open or start of the Pump/Dump.

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Back near Open, just not impressed with the price action on way up. Seems off.

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220 is holding and may go to the moon with F-M long play.

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Starting to fizzle. Watch Tesla, BitCoin and NVDA. These drop and so should NAZ with Algo Bots. F-M deal has magic powers and take it to The Moon, FYI if no fizzle.

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Fizzle Target, if so. That would be crazy.

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Will hedge at 500. So when the PA does the opposite of what it normally does (at the exact time), usually the counter move is a set up or offset. F-M move was predicted and will fit the pattern, just not moving up with strength.

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Look familiar, we saw these as the NAZ was struggling to get lower. They all sold off until the O/N got things going. Normally these drop back to start level. Let us view how this one plays out on this Friday Dead Zone period.

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Moving hedge to 19,600 as the price continue to lift on lower volume, need the air pocket drop and may be Tuesday.

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This thing may very well go to the upper forecasted target, by OED or Monday Close. Will not move hedge if so.

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Typical.

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Pop back up or Hook Short is next, head fake long.

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Sideways to safe zone for lift into Monday. Same play and most likely we see that same reaction or sell off to retest the entire move on Tuesday.

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4-28 Update, The NDX (NAZ) started the move up with a Gap open and targeted the Diablo TL (Red Line). Passed and will try for KL 20,600, NDX is at upper channel level now and may drop back. Blue and yellow doe is expected retest zone should the index get rejected or stall out. May go back and retest the TL.

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19,600 No Hedge, looking for drop. This is the day closed and then Friday Close moves.

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Day 3 view of drop set up to retest below, stalling on lifts and will need some tricks or tweets to get up and over.

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Few day Rig Lift gone in about 1 hour. BTD/FOMO Trap.

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Hold or drop deeper zone.

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NDX, today or tomorrow we will see if this is in fact a range of insignificant noise.

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19,320, the NAZ has seemed to stop dropping and any drop is just fought and struggles to move lower. Once that type of strange behavior ends, the NAZ should drop further. If not, back to ATH or sideways to the O/N lift zone for overnight stabilization R/R.

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Getting late in the day, NAZ will need some Tricks or Tweets soon or lower we go. Unless, it can get to the O/N safe Zone with little damage here.

Trade closed manually

Still Short and have not moved, starting to Break Even. Will hang on with like a bad gambler as I expect this to drop further. The Price Action since late 2024 has been sketchy, at best. Review my many prior Post's and you can see the U Turns away from the Danger Zones, O/N lifts (out of nowhere), etc. The games have been only working to maintain a reduced drop and have not produced any significant gains as we are basically flat after 3.5 years. We either see a drop flush out or continue to BTD with the FOMO's as this may be how things are or have evolved to. Will close this out as we drop on the Monday of the F-M Long play. Entry, Target, Exit and block the Noise. The PA is the indicator.

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4/29 Update, Still in range of Insignificant Noise, looking for something with sustainable force to break it out. The Tricks/Tweets seem to be losing their effect, although the 400 point pop back up yesterday in near final hour and into the Overnight was interesting (but expected, trick).

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526 is KL today. Short under.

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Under on NDX should go back inside channel.

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Watch next move

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Hammer Time.

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3 minutes, waiting on the Sledge or back up. May see head fake.

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Very tricky, need to favor a Hook Short under high. Dead Zone has amazing strength and will move at last minute, in a Flash.

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Game today is the slow sideways move to the O/N for the easy lift. No drop and should it stay up to the O/N, we will see a lift in the Overnight. Hook Short is fading out, may be a head fake as this is basically a NTZ No Trade Zone day.

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This Candle is Key on NDX, under 432 the move may follow the yellow arrow. Not unlikely but hard to see as these do play out. Other than that, looks like Long is staying to O/N for more move up in safe zone.

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Failed Auction move up above day High, these usually come back. H/S developing at 19,665, continue price/volume divergence since 4/4 and tomorrow is final day of the month.

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Adding to Short at 19,680 and additional should NAZ lift up to 19,780

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Mid Range with Yellow arrow being H/S drop or retest.

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Lets see what the O/N rig Team can pull off or not.

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Pup/Dump in the Reg Session, now? Getting real strange.

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4/30 Update, The rig up for for very big bad reason, hang on.

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MAZing

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MAZing