NQ Update April 1st Post (4-18-24)

Updated

The White arrows to the right side are KL's. 18700 YTD High, 17027 YTD Open and 16300 YTD Low. The white dash is Mid Level of YTD Range. 4/1 Post, we have hit lower target and my see some retracement back up, not looking for a KL 18590 retest. Use Yellow dots as targets for next move. Yellow diagonal TL is next retest and TLX 17867, may see sideways with slight lift prior to another drop.

Interesting chart on S/P, we may be heading back into a Dead Zone.

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NAZ got within 20 points of Mid Level / lower target and jumped 200 points.

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Back to the Dot or white dash for retest.

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10YN Update

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4/19 Update, NAZ came within 150 points of YTD Open, 525 is KL under and range is the rotation around TLX 17334

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TLX 334 retest, needs to stay above.

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Looking like another O/N Pump/Dump

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YTD Open is in view

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4/22 Update. Typical Monday O/N Pump/Dump setting up and may actually go up today as BTD/FOMO's will come in. Chart below is 64 day YTD lift into the channel and a 5 day drop that erases is all below KL 18054. Next lift will provide another opportunity for sellers to get out. May get whippy.

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450 rejection again is 17300 retest.

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17300 Hit and back toward 450.

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Good Luck, watch the Pump/Dump from O/N into Reg Session

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Indicators are upside down. Look for a drop in next day or so.

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4/24 Update. O/N drop did clean out some of the Air Pocket and may retest again in Reg Session. The arrows on the chart are potential plays and we may stay in the set range of YTD High - Mid - Low for months.

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17820 is TZ and strong resistance (near smiley).

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10 YN Update, keeps drifting lower, slowly.

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No Strength NAZ is back and Drop Offset complete. Red Vertical is Air Pocket, arrows will be range for few days.

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Update, should O/N not lift the NAZ will drop tomorrow.

Trade closed manually

O/N will retest 334 and no hold will try 184. Hold at either and back up for Open Drive to sell off or sideways (most likely). Yellow circle was the Previous O/N pump/dump, need to watch these. Good luck, I am out most of balance of week.

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10YN still dropping

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334 Hit

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343 back and now back down under 525.

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In only only and not Reg Session, 5m 200 point move. Nothing has changed for 2 plus years.

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4/26, 17867 TLX is Long above and short below. Friday rally into Monday close is back on. Nothing has changed, AI, BTD, FOMO is back and no push/pull. We are at the Smiley Face zone from a few days ago.

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4/29 Update, Nothing new and NAZ is Rotating around TLX 867. Nothing big will happen until upper KL as high as 590 rejects or lower KL 17027 holds. Looking for break out of this range. O/N's will lift, O/R's will drop and Dead Zones will stabilize and lift back up until a major moves jolts it out, such a s a Fed Day and these are usually Up 1st. Sell in May has not worked in many years, maybe we are due or same old BTD/FOMO all Summer long.

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5/1, New Month, New Money and a Fed Day. May see a pop should Jerome say anything positive in the slightest way. NAZ still in the range so wait for break out.

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5/3 Update, TLX 867 is still the rotation zone. PA has been so weak that the NAZ may actually float higher with a Friday-Monday long play. I am out and staying out until the break out. May be mid Summer at this pace.

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5/7 Update, Mentioned the typical Friday - Monday Long trade and it appears to be still working. Look for a change on Tuesday - Thursday for a move toward TLX 867. Range now is 17867-18590.

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5/10 Update, Another Friday - Monday Close Long Only Rally. Just like most Friday's, like I have mentioned, nothing has changed over the past 2 years. Look for Failed Auctions back up after any Open Range drop. 590 KL is in sight.

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5/13 Update, NAZ is moving in a 1,000 point range and as usual the O/N keeps it stabilized. Need to see what happens tomorrow - Wednesday. 300 points above is max lift before next move lower or retest. BTD/FOMO Forever, O/N is the BOSS.

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5/15 Short at 590 Rejection, may rotate around some prior to retest from below and drop retest to lower KL's. This is the trade to watch.

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Review 5/1 comment/chart above to current, this may be range for awhile.

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100 points above KL 590, need to see some rotation of KL 590

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590 KL pasted and on Short, needs to retest 590 and rotate around and get rejected from under KL.

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Indicators are upside down, careful on any Shorts. I will be out until Monday. BTD/FOMO till Tuesday may be the PA.

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Watch KL 590 or under 590.

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5/20 Update 18760 was YTD Channel Top and Yellow Lines above are KL Targets should NAZ stay above Channel Top. Should NAZ stall out, look for drop to Red TLX's head south. The best trades come in the face of the opposite direction Strength. Now is the time to watch for a counter move retest drop hold for next Leg higher or decent drop play.

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5/21 Update, You can see the channel triangle of points playing out in next week or so as this index has become a Turtle with Snail Speed and is why I do not post anymore (maybe in the fall, October?). Yellow arrow is 1st potential move.

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5/22, NAZ back to KL 18760, Long above and Short below. May see rotation around near Open Drive. The PA just seems very weak and aimless. Many times a curveball rally will show up, especially during any Holiday or near. Look for a rally on Friday should a drop show up over the next few days.

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760 bounce for now

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Now back under 760 and get excited if it should go under 590. Look for NAZ to hit 590 and pop back up

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5/23 NAZ working the O/N light volume to get ready for Pump/Dump for Open Drive. Or, This is start of Holiday long weekend rally that I mentioned a few days ago. This is how it i done so be careful on the Short Side.

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Pump/Dump to about half of O/N Prop, just watch the Dead Zone and the Failed Auction rally into Friday. Should the FA run not happen, then look short for some low volume drop tests below.

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Pump/Dump as usual, Gone for the day so be careful. Under 760 should try 680 and potentially 590.

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590 Next, just watch the potential redirect in the final 10M of day.

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Got to 620, will interesting to see what happens tonight in O/N (overnight) and if they try to Rig it up prior to the usual easy lift Friday (Holiday) session. I would think the Long side will show up. The other view is that Wed into Thursday had the widest U Turn so far this week and may be heading South into the long weekend.

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5/24 Update and out today. No O/N significant lift, wait for 1st 30M move and then follow. The usual Holiday/Friday move is up, up, up. Should that not happen, look down, down, down.

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810-840 is Turn Zone, look for a test and move above or below. Good Luck and have a Great Holiday.

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Late Friday Air Pocket and could drop on stall out.

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5/28 Update, NAZ under 925 and may retest O/N range. Look for break out of 750-950 range for next move. NAZ will usually go higher in the 1st few days of the week and will try as we had Monday off. No lift, may see at decent drop test.

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4HR

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You may have noticed the past month or so that the NAZ will O/N lift, Open drop and then Dead Zone lift like clockwork. The upward PA has been during the lower volume sessions or trading periods of the day. This will usually get cleaned out with a heavy volume drop test prior to a break out pop higher. NAZ needs to stay above 18750.

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5/29 Update, The final 10 minute near 100 point pop yesterday was typical and may be the drop offset to the O/N PA. Mentioned 750 as KL to watch and we may test that today. NAZ on the edge of channel and under 925-950, look short under 950.

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You know the plan, No Lift in O/N and lower the NAZ will go. The Lower Channel break out may pick up speed at any stall out after the 1st pop attempt.

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NAZ with no real move today, as usual. Next may see the O/N try to lift and if so, we will see 19050-150 should Open Drive lift also. No Lift then channel break lower.

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5/30 Update, NAZ now under KL 750 and testing from below. Need to see if it stays out of lower Channel. Keep in mind that the Friday-Monday Close Long move may be next, that and Month End or New Month New Money may provide the Long Trade. BTD/FOMO Forever in the Long Only Product world.

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Good luck today, NAZ is retesting O/N levels (KL's) and is about as strong as a feather. The deceptive weakness many times will turn into a weak lift unless you see some significant Push/Pull.

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Past 2 days, you can see the push/pull is starting, just watch for a quick drop to pop or pop up. Usually what is next. That move is next clue to bigger move (usually in the opposite direction)

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18660 rejection or reaction will be what to watch.

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White arrow is the retest above KL and the Long for now. Needs to hold.

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Push/Pull is persistent, warning sign. NAZ back at KL 660, Just watch 666, may get ugly. I will update tomorrow as the O/N will need some black magic.

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5/31 Update, Final day of month and a Friday. NAZ under 666 and watch 590 reaction. May rotate around 590 or pop up prior to Open and then slowly drop lower during the day and after Open 1st 30-60M. No O/N lift is usually not good for the NAZ, watch that and any Push/Pull and look for quick drop tests.

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Pump Dump from O/N, Needs to stay above 525

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Orange TL may bounce this

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Gone for day, looks like it is going the the KL or arrow head

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For those of you that have following me for the past 4 years, this is another U Turn and orange TL did bounce. U Turn #30ish.

Trade closed manually

Closing New Post on 6/3

MAZing

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