NASDAQ - I expect a correction
Old update:
Old chart analysis:
"Ralph nelso Elliott assumed that trends move in 5 waves. The waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulse waves. Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. After completing the 5 waves, Elliott assumed that a correction would follow. We also saw this correction in the nasdaq.**
According to Nelson Elliott , the correction takes place in 3 steps. ABC correction. In my opinion, the ABC correction has taken place in the nasdaq and has been completed. That means that basically new highs can be achieved again!"
The Nasdaq is strong! The price continues to increase and we could see this movement continue up to 14225 points. Here I actually see the end of the wave and a correction up to the target should give us the opportunity to establish a position again. However, with that much power, we can also see a direct breakout. To do this, the price should stabilize above 14225 points. In this case, I also have to do a more aggressive count and adjust the targets upwards. In the overall view I see the Nasdaq around 15269.
I expect the current upward move around 14225 points to switch into a correction. However, if the Nasdaq holds levels above 14,225 points, another breakout must be expected.
Now the Nasdaq reacts clearly to the resistance at 14147 points, where the wave [iii] still have reached a good target. Should the market succeed in falling below the 13979 points sustainably, we can slowly focus on the target area around 13700 to 13500 points. Accordingly, the expectation of a direct breakout over 14225 points has been reduced to 40%. The intermediate correction would be very welcome, so that we can build up further long positions.
Conclusion: a small intermediate recovery is more likely and can start today with a fall below 13979 points.
For my followers to understand my analysis:
The topic is only described very roughly and is intended to give you a first overview of one of my analysis methods.
1. An impulse always moves in five sub-waves.
Waves 1, 3 and 5 of these are motive waves that move in the same direction as the overall trend.
Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves, i.e. they correct the previous movement.
The following rules apply to an impulse:
-Wave 4 must not overlap with wave 1, except in a diagonal.
-Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
-Wave 2 must not fall below the starting point of wave 1.
If one of these rules is broken, the chart analysis must be revised.
2. A correction wave moves in the opposite direction to the overall trend.
Corrective waves are three-part and basically consist of waves A, B and C.
Waves A and C are primarily impulse patterns of the corrective movement and drive the market in the opposite direction to the overall trend.
Wave B corrects the previous wave A and even has the potential to surpass the starting point of wave A.
3. The standard pattern consists of an impulse wave and a corrective wave.
These standard patterns repeat on a short-term basis as well as on a multi-year basis. In other words, every single wave consists of several sub-waves and in turn belongs to the larger picture. For example, wave 1 (an impulse) itself consists of five sub-waves.
This standard pattern continues and accordingly always merges into a higher level.
4. Relation Between Fibonacci and Elliott Wave Theory
Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio. For example, in impulse wave:
Wave 2 is typically 38,2 %, 50% or 61.8% of wave 1
• Wave 3 is typically 161.8% of wave 1
• Wave 4 is typically 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3
• Wave 5 is typically inverse 1.236 – 1.618% of wave 4, equal to wave 1 or 61.8% of wave 1+3
You can use the information above to determine the point of entry and profit target when entering into a trade.
Old chart analysis:
"Ralph nelso Elliott assumed that trends move in 5 waves. The waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulse waves. Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. After completing the 5 waves, Elliott assumed that a correction would follow. We also saw this correction in the nasdaq.**
According to Nelson Elliott , the correction takes place in 3 steps. ABC correction. In my opinion, the ABC correction has taken place in the nasdaq and has been completed. That means that basically new highs can be achieved again!"
The Nasdaq is strong! The price continues to increase and we could see this movement continue up to 14225 points. Here I actually see the end of the wave and a correction up to the target should give us the opportunity to establish a position again. However, with that much power, we can also see a direct breakout. To do this, the price should stabilize above 14225 points. In this case, I also have to do a more aggressive count and adjust the targets upwards. In the overall view I see the Nasdaq around 15269.
I expect the current upward move around 14225 points to switch into a correction. However, if the Nasdaq holds levels above 14,225 points, another breakout must be expected.
Now the Nasdaq reacts clearly to the resistance at 14147 points, where the wave [iii] still have reached a good target. Should the market succeed in falling below the 13979 points sustainably, we can slowly focus on the target area around 13700 to 13500 points. Accordingly, the expectation of a direct breakout over 14225 points has been reduced to 40%. The intermediate correction would be very welcome, so that we can build up further long positions.
Conclusion: a small intermediate recovery is more likely and can start today with a fall below 13979 points.
For my followers to understand my analysis:
The topic is only described very roughly and is intended to give you a first overview of one of my analysis methods.
1. An impulse always moves in five sub-waves.
Waves 1, 3 and 5 of these are motive waves that move in the same direction as the overall trend.
Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves, i.e. they correct the previous movement.
The following rules apply to an impulse:
-Wave 4 must not overlap with wave 1, except in a diagonal.
-Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
-Wave 2 must not fall below the starting point of wave 1.
If one of these rules is broken, the chart analysis must be revised.
2. A correction wave moves in the opposite direction to the overall trend.
Corrective waves are three-part and basically consist of waves A, B and C.
Waves A and C are primarily impulse patterns of the corrective movement and drive the market in the opposite direction to the overall trend.
Wave B corrects the previous wave A and even has the potential to surpass the starting point of wave A.
3. The standard pattern consists of an impulse wave and a corrective wave.
These standard patterns repeat on a short-term basis as well as on a multi-year basis. In other words, every single wave consists of several sub-waves and in turn belongs to the larger picture. For example, wave 1 (an impulse) itself consists of five sub-waves.
This standard pattern continues and accordingly always merges into a higher level.
4. Relation Between Fibonacci and Elliott Wave Theory
Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio. For example, in impulse wave:
Wave 2 is typically 38,2 %, 50% or 61.8% of wave 1
• Wave 3 is typically 161.8% of wave 1
• Wave 4 is typically 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3
• Wave 5 is typically inverse 1.236 – 1.618% of wave 4, equal to wave 1 or 61.8% of wave 1+3
You can use the information above to determine the point of entry and profit target when entering into a trade.
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