Short-Term Market Fluctuations: Analyzing the NQ Correction

Updated
In this article, I'll explore the recent decline in the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) index from the 13,200 level, focusing on its corrective nature and potential implications for short-term price action. By examining the 15-minute timeframe chart and considering the impact of tomorrow's scheduled economic release, we can gain insights into possible market moves and make more informed trading decisions.

Identifying the Corrective Nature of the NQ Decline

From 13,200, the NQ has experienced a decline that appears corrective rather than impulsive. If you examine the 15-minute timeframe chart, you'll likely concur with this assessment. The current targets for this correction sit around 13,000 or as low as 12,980.

Considering the Impact of Economic Releases on Short-Term Price Action

What makes me skeptical of further short-term downside is the fact that economic data is set to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM in premarket trading. If the NQ continues its decline to complete the correction, it's probable that we will witness a significant upside move following the release of the data.

Analyzing the Initial Move and Providing Actionable Information

My concern with the initial decline is that it consisted of three waves, rather than a clear five-wave impulse. For now, I'm ruling out the possibility of a major downside move tomorrow. Unlike some traders who provide vague content and only reveal their "conditional" orders after the fact, I aim to offer actionable information beforehand.

If the NQ drops into the 8:30 AM release tomorrow, we are more likely to see an upward move. Conversely, if the index rises overnight, we can expect a downside move following the data release.

Understanding the corrective nature of the NQ's recent decline and factoring in the impact of upcoming economic releases can help us better navigate short-term market fluctuations. By providing actionable information ahead of time and adapting my analysis as needed, we can make more informed decisions and improve our trading outcomes. Keep an eye on the NQ's price action as we approach tomorrow's data release and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Trade closed: target reached
I was able to capture 100 pts in NQ futures this morning. Using the methods I outlined above.

If the NQ drops into the 8:30 AM release tomorrow, we are more likely to see an upward move.

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Comment
I know I don't need to tell you something you don't already know, but this is why taking profits is so important. Look at the reversal.

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