In the over night sessions, price was the smoothest on the indices, as the price failed to take out the PDHs on SPX and US30. NAS tapped the PDH and traded above it only to move back into the previous day’s range. The #fomc meeting notes and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in the afternoon seems to have held up up for now. The #homesales numbers came in off projects:
10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 3.79M 3.90M 3.95M
The interest rates have dropped but this isn’t the time we’d typically see this number kicking up.
Each of the indices has traded into 4H+FVG and that implies that we could still move up from where we are. The PDL from yesterday is my SSL draw if we push to the downside and the PWHs are still my targets for an upside move.
#BullishCase As we have rest in this 4H+FVG on all 3 indexes, we’ll need to look for price to hold. As long as we don’t have an impulse to the downside through a PDL, we should be okay to still see a move from the FVG range. SPX and NAS, both have BSL as targets from the Closing session. But the targets, aside from this will be the the BSL, PDH and Was for all the Indices.
#BearishCase If we manage to trade through the PDL on each of the indices and we do so with an impulse this will change my view of the short-term/ midterm to look for a sell. This would imply that the 4H+FVG has been mitigated and we could potentially see that IFVG or inverse FVG setup play out.
For either situation patience and price action will lead the way!
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