A long-term cup & handle pattern has formed in Nintendo (I have been buying during the "handle" formation). It's not a perfect setup as the top of the "handle" is higher than the high near the end of 2007, although that's in the chart adjusted for dividends. It looks a lot more clear on the chart that's not adjusted for dividends (I will post an update with that). Additionally, the "cup" formation is pretty deep, which likely limits upside from here. Therefore, I think a 50% rise is possible if it can decisively break out above $16 on a monthly closing basis. (This would be a price target in the mid-$20 range; more may be possible, and would be welcomed, but at some point I would have a stop loss in mind and hopefully it would continue to run for a while. I will update this idea if/when that happens.)