Megacaps vs Small Caps: Has Nvidia Done This Before?
Nvidia has embodied the megacap growth trend for more than a year. Now there could be signs of sentiment shifting -- at least for a little while.
Today’s idea uses two charts to consider potential changes in market conditions.
First, Jensen Huang’s semiconductor giant showed some potentially similar patterns in March and June. Both times, it jumped to a record high on strong results and peaked a few weeks later. Both tops had bearish outside days followed by lower highs. Then periods of consolidation set in.
MACD also turned lower and Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) slid from overbought conditions.
NVDA bottomed 29 sessions after its March 8 reversal day. If a similar period applies this time, it could suggest sideways movement will last through the start of August.
In the meantime, traders seem to be focusing on small caps and cyclical sectors like financials and industrials. That brings us to the second chart, a ratio of the Russell 2000 against the Nasdaq-100.
It clearly shows small caps’ relative underperformance, which began in mid-2006.
The lower study reveals that the ratio jumped 11.65 percent in the last two weeks. That’s the biggest two-week gain since 2002. Some chart watchers may also notice the ratio’s bullish outside candle after hitting an all-time low. Those patterns could also suggest a bottom has occurred.
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Today’s idea uses two charts to consider potential changes in market conditions.
First, Jensen Huang’s semiconductor giant showed some potentially similar patterns in March and June. Both times, it jumped to a record high on strong results and peaked a few weeks later. Both tops had bearish outside days followed by lower highs. Then periods of consolidation set in.
MACD also turned lower and Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) slid from overbought conditions.
NVDA bottomed 29 sessions after its March 8 reversal day. If a similar period applies this time, it could suggest sideways movement will last through the start of August.
In the meantime, traders seem to be focusing on small caps and cyclical sectors like financials and industrials. That brings us to the second chart, a ratio of the Russell 2000 against the Nasdaq-100.
It clearly shows small caps’ relative underperformance, which began in mid-2006.
The lower study reveals that the ratio jumped 11.65 percent in the last two weeks. That’s the biggest two-week gain since 2002. Some chart watchers may also notice the ratio’s bullish outside candle after hitting an all-time low. Those patterns could also suggest a bottom has occurred.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on https://www.TradeStation.com/Important-Information/. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit [url =tradestation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies] TradeStation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies for further important information explaining what this means.
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