Let's consider the conditions for both scenarios:
1. The Dip and the Continuation of the Trend Scenario
- MACD lines do not cross over. The MACD histogram is starting to rise.
- The force index is rising again.
- The bulls are looking for a bounce from the first line of defense, around the low of the day at $124.40. This is exactly what is happening so far today.
2. The Correction Scenario
- The first line of defence is breached.
- The second line of defence is breached.
- MACD lines cross over, and the MACD histogram falls below 0.
- The force index falls below 0.
What do you think? Please comment below with Scenario 1 or 2.