NVIDIA

NVDA at a Make-or-Break Zone – Trade Setups Ahead

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🔍 Options GEX Insights (Gamma Exposure):
* GEX Map Observation:
* NVDA is currently trading near 158, slightly under the major Gamma Wall at 160.98.
* This level marks the highest positive net GEX – strong resistance due to heavy call positioning.
* Above that, additional call walls stack at 162.5 → 165 → 167.5, creating a squeeze zone if price breaks out.
* Below, support levels sit at 155 (2nd PUT wall) and 152.5 (3rd PUT wall).
* Volatility & Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 8.8, IVx: 40.8 – low implied volatility rank = cheap options.
* Put Positioning: Only 1.4% = call-heavy environment, skewed bullish.
* Positive GEX (+) across expiries shows dealers will hedge upward if we move beyond 161.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout/Squeeze Setup):
* Break over 160.98 could ignite a gamma squeeze toward 165–167.5 range.
* Ideal for low delta CALL verticals or debit spreads targeting the 165 zone.
* Weekly options are cheap due to low IV.
🔴 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
* If price stays pinned under 160 and loses 155, dealers start to de-hedge – momentum toward 152/150.
* Consider put spreads or a cautious fade if it breaks structure.
📌 GEX Summary Suggestion:
If NVDA stays under 160, price may remain pinned or retrace. But above 161 opens the gamma doors to 165+. Cheap IV = opportunity.

📊 1-Hour Price Action Technicals:
snapshot
* Market Structure:
* Previous BOS toward the upside has stalled inside a consolidation box under 160.
* Multiple CHoCH zones form below current price, hinting at exhaustion.
* Price is stuck within a wedge, coiling beneath resistance = compression phase.
* Support & Resistance Zones:
* Resistance: 159.34 → 160.98 (Gamma Wall and price supply).
* Support: 155.34, then 151.10.
* Bullish OB remains untested around 151 area if price flushes.
* Volume & Trend:
* Volume declining during chop = balance phase.
* RSI & MACD show slight bearish divergence, favoring caution near top of range.

⚙️ Trade Thoughts:
* Scalp Setup:
* Above 160.98 = scalp long toward 162.5/165, tight stop at 159.3.
* Below 155 = scalp short toward 152 zone.
* Swing Setup:
* Long only on strong breakout close above 161 with volume.
* Short swing possible under 155 if CHoCH confirms trend flip.

Conclusion:
NVDA sits at the pivot point of either breaking out toward 165+ or rejecting and retracing toward 152. GEX and price both hint at a coiled move ahead. Stay nimble, follow the volume.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.

Disclaimer

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