1/27/25 - $nvda - First time homie? bot ur bag.
1/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
NVDA
First time homie? bot ur bag.
- don't mean to be be flippant on a day like today. we r all down.
- deepseek changes nothing IMO, except pulls fwd demand
- capex budgets will likely remain flat but not down
- nvda will be sold out this year and next
- and you sold your bag because...
- because you freaked out. you started believing everyone that said "the ai bubble has burst" and "the dot com moment" tweets hit your nerves (been there in dot com) and "chinese temu for ai" was something you could understand.
- for those of us who have owned the best assets in a bull mkt, you have to understand that emotions cut both ways. and while YES THIS EVENT DOES MATTER and was something that changed the equation (as should be obvious by now), not just "rates" or "china" affecting some 1-2% sell off in mkt. yes this is different, yes it's harder to trade
- does it change the fundamental demand for NVDA chips? that's the debate. and right now the market is shooting first, as it always does, and can't be blamed. fear and greed dominate. it went from greed... now fear.
- you buy fear. you sell greed.
- so we took profits and trimmed last week. now we are packing the second home with nvda shares and 2027 calls (80C's are my flavor strike on the leap today).
- does it go lower?
- V always says. only god knows. (and tbh, "G"od doesn't care.) so first and foremost, realize this is all fake and gey. it's just a game we play. and don't get too emotionally involved. not all days will be green days. we risk manage to take less losses here and live to see another day.
- today sux. yes. maybe tmr sucks too. maybe the day after too.
- but this is not the end of Nvda or AI, actually... it's the inflection moment.
V
NVDAFirst time homie? bot ur bag.
- don't mean to be be flippant on a day like today. we r all down.
- deepseek changes nothing IMO, except pulls fwd demand
- capex budgets will likely remain flat but not down
- nvda will be sold out this year and next
- and you sold your bag because...
- because you freaked out. you started believing everyone that said "the ai bubble has burst" and "the dot com moment" tweets hit your nerves (been there in dot com) and "chinese temu for ai" was something you could understand.
- for those of us who have owned the best assets in a bull mkt, you have to understand that emotions cut both ways. and while YES THIS EVENT DOES MATTER and was something that changed the equation (as should be obvious by now), not just "rates" or "china" affecting some 1-2% sell off in mkt. yes this is different, yes it's harder to trade
- does it change the fundamental demand for NVDA chips? that's the debate. and right now the market is shooting first, as it always does, and can't be blamed. fear and greed dominate. it went from greed... now fear.
- you buy fear. you sell greed.
- so we took profits and trimmed last week. now we are packing the second home with nvda shares and 2027 calls (80C's are my flavor strike on the leap today).
- does it go lower?
- V always says. only god knows. (and tbh, "G"od doesn't care.) so first and foremost, realize this is all fake and gey. it's just a game we play. and don't get too emotionally involved. not all days will be green days. we risk manage to take less losses here and live to see another day.
- today sux. yes. maybe tmr sucks too. maybe the day after too.
- but this is not the end of Nvda or AI, actually... it's the inflection moment.
V
Trade active
took a lil off the table esp on the ST stuff. thought i'd update a quick note w/ the stock now up 6+% on the day
reversion happened, rotating a bit into the laggard (
AMD, 
MU) today and while energy is still getting whipped, i like 
NXT into the print tn, let's see. i plan to keep 
TSM as my largest semi exposure going fwd and ultimately it could just be the only one given the tremendous growth, and fact that it trades nearly 60% of the multiples of my second favorite (NVDA).
V
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.