The NZDCAD pair just completed a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since June 20 2023. Even though the price rebounded inside the 1.5 years Higher Lows Zone, the prevailing pattern since December 2023 is a Channel Down.
With the July 14 2023 High formed (and rejected) on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, it is possible to see a rejection on the new 0.786 Fib, which now happens to be exactly at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, as long as the pair doesn't close a 1D candle above the 0.786 Fib, we are bearish, targeting 0.80300 (the -0.136 Fib extension). If the 1D candle gets closed above the 0.786 Fib, we will take the small loss and buy, targeting 0.85000.
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