Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, the following analysis has been conducted:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
Swing Structure:
Bearish swing structure with a Break of Structure (BOS) after taking inducement.
Corrective swing move has nearly mitigated everything with 3 pullbacks, forming a corrective internal bullish structure.
At the Point of Interest (POI), we see three key elements: Extreme Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and Liquidity (LIQ) resting above the double top at the Premier zone of the swing.
All of these factors align to create a strong area for sellers.
Entry Model: Regular SMC
Resistance: Demand zone is prominent.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
Reversal: A double top pattern has been identified.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Long wicks have appeared multiple times at the top, indicating rejection.
Momentum candles have also formed in the same area of interest, showing significant market activity.
A classic tower top candlestick pattern with valid parameters has been observed.
Volume:
🟢 Substantial volume has been observed in this area after a long time.
Despite the volume, it has been unable to cross the point of interest, indicating profit booking and a show of strength from sellers.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 After a strong bullish momentum, the RSI reversed from the overbought level and shifted into a range inside the sideways to bearish zone.
A divergence between the last two highs is supported by loud moves, signaling that sellers are still in control.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Transition from contraction to expansion has occurred with a proper squeeze breakout.
Walking on the band suggests that the bullish volatile move is nearing its end.
Price is forming an "M" pattern in Bollinger Band terms, which is a strong bearish signal.
Strength ADX: Sideways yet, indicating neutral strength in the market.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
All dimensions are in favor of a bearish move.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ POI: Marked
💡 Decision: Sell limit
🚀 Entry: 0.8287
✋ Stop loss: 0.8333
🎯 Take profit: 0.8110
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 4
🕛 Expected Duration: 15 Days
SUMMARY:
The analysis suggests a strong bearish setup with all dimensions aligning in favor of sellers. A sell limit order is recommended at 0.8287 with a stop loss at 0.8333 and a take profit at 0.8110. The trade offers a favorable risk to reward ratio of 4, and the expected duration is 15 days.