Waiting for NZDCHF to break out of the descending triangle.

From around the beginning of March 2021 NZDCHF continues to drift lower. From around the beginning of May 2023 the pair is forming a descending triangle pattern, which according to the TA rules, tends to be a bearish indication. However, in order to consider the next short-term directional move, a break through one of the sides of that triangle is needed.

A drop below the lower side of the aforementioned triangle, at around 0.5434, would confirm a forthcoming lower low. Such a move may clear the path towards the 0.5300 territory, as it was seen as a key support area back in March 2020.

Alternatively, a pop above the upper side of the previously discussed triangle could support the idea of examining some higher areas, at least in the near-term. We would then aim for the 200-day EMA, or even the 0.5678 hurdle, marked by the highest point of May.

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