NZDJPY – Sell Limit Setup (Medium-Term Swing)

200
Trade Summary
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 85.29
Stop Loss: 86.97
Target: 79.82

Risk/Reward Ratio: ~3.4:1
Duration: Medium-Term Swing

Technical View
  • The broader trend remains bearish, with price consistently making lower highs.
  • NZDJPY rejected the downtrend resistance line, confirming continued seller control.
  • Yesterday’s sharp sell-off adds weight to the bearish view, and today’s mild bounce presents an opportunity to sell into strength.
  • Targeting a return to the reaction low at 79.82, last seen in early April.

Seasonal Insight
From April 29 – May 19, NZDJPY has declined in 57.14% of the past 36 years, with an average drop of 0.99%.

This seasonal tendency supports the short bias for the next few weeks.

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