Similar fundamental reasons underlie my bearish bias on the Kiwi. The bidirectional monetary policy impacting rate differentials being the most meaningful.
Further, technically, one would expect some material levels within the next handle, as evidenced by my red support line which roughly marks out the neckline of a head and shoulders top. Finally, with the MACD turning bearish on such an important trend-line, one has a reasonable argument for action to take some risk.