NZD/USD: Flipping the Script at .5700?

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NZD/USD struggled above .5700 recently, but now that it’s pushed through, maybe the opposite will hold true. Price action around today’s RBNZ decision—where the bank delivered a third straight 50bp cut and flagged at least two more, possibly three—suggests it might.

The post-decision dip below .5700 was snapped up quickly, casting doubt on the bearish signal from the three-candle evening star pattern completed Tuesday.

If the rebound holds, minor resistance sits at .5723 (Jan 24 high), with a tougher test at .5750, where last week’s rally ran out of steam. A break there puts .5800 and .5888 in play. It’s too early to say whether the rising wedge pattern the Kiwi is trading in will be respected, but that’s another thing for longs to watch.

The price has run a long way just while writing this, but dips towards and below .5700 look like solid long entry points, improving risk-reward while offering nearby levels for stops, like the 50DMA.Momentum indicators are flashing bullish, favouring dip-buying and bullish breaks in the near term.

If NZD/USD were to close beneath the 50DMA, the bullish bias would be nixed.

Good luck!
DS

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