Buy above 0.6992. Stop loss at 0.6955. Take profit at 0.7091.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is now testing major support at 0.6992 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support, Fibonacci extension) and we remain bullish above this level for a push up to 0.7091 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance). When price surpasses our descending resistance line, that would give us further confidence of our bullish move up.
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 1.2% level.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of a decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes in line with our bullish NZDUSD strategy view.