US Dollar May Face a Major Downtrend — NZDUSD Full Case Study

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snapshot

One-sentence key takeaway:

"The coming dollar downtrend is unfolding—NZDUSD has already taken off! Catch the structural breakout; the next station may witness a major dollar reversal."

1. Key Breakout Trigger — May 13
Signal time: 2025-05-13 22:01

Trigger price: 0.58932

Insight: Multi-timeframe signal confluence on NZDUSD, 0.58932 marks a major bullish breakout.

Strategy: As long as price holds above 0.59, stay bullish and ride the trend from the start.
《NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点(05月13日)》
NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点(05月13日)


2. First Follow-up — May 20
Price remained above 0.59; signal confirmed

Conclusion: Signal fully respected, trend intact, stay long and patient.
《NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(1)(05月20日)》
NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(1)(05月20日)


3. Temporary Resistance — May 26
Current price: 0.60206

Non-USD pairs facing resistance, some consolidation appearing.

Strategy: Any pullback is not a concern; watch the structure, the main trend is unchanged.
《NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(2)(非美遇到阻力)(05月26日)》
NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(2)(非美遇到阻力)(05月26日)


4. Second Breakout — May 28
Current price: 0.59691

Non-USD currencies re-ignite; strong inflow and bullish momentum.

Strategy: Buy dips in line with the trend, bullish bias unchanged.
cn.tradingview.com/chart/idea/hDlgFQsc/》
NZD(纽元)非美大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(3)—(AUDUSD信号)(05月28日)


5. Latest Update — June 2
Current price: 0.6005

Dollar Index: 98.965, down 0.48% today

NZDUSD and other non-USD pairs remain strong, Dollar Index keeps weakening.

Conclusion: The major dollar downtrend is clearly in play; non-USD bullish momentum remains dominant.
snapshot

My Bias
  • Strongly bearish on USD; looking to buy NZDUSD and other non-USD pairs on dips

  • As long as 0.59 holds, the main trend stands

  • Every correction is a new chance to get on the next leg up



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