1. We have a downtrend with 3 touchdowns 2. We have constant squeezes, (blue arrows) where people think that this is the last fall and it will not go lower. 3. We have a slowing decline, and a breakout at the end of the year (December 2022) of the trendline
Taking all these facts, there is a good chance we could repeat a similar scenario. In any case, for viola to start rising, it needs to break the downtrend line, this is the point where the downtrend break for viola forms.
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