1. We have a downtrend with 3 touchdowns
2. We have constant squeezes, (blue arrows) where people think that this is the last fall and it will not go lower.
3. We have a slowing decline, and a breakout at the end of the year (December 2022) of the trendline
Taking all these facts, there is a good chance we could repeat a similar scenario.
In any case, for viola to start rising, it needs to break the downtrend line, this is the point where the downtrend break for viola forms.