I have been beating the table on this stock for the last month. This is the greatest buy in the market considering the crash we are about to slam into. 1. Oxy historically had too much debt. They financed various acquisitions with debt. Their highest profile investor (Warren buffet) happens to control Bank of America. Bank of America is now the oxy lender (I’d love to see the reg O paperwork on this deal) So to say they have favorable finance terms is an understatement. They have been selling off assets to pay down debt as well. They have paid down almost 2.5 billion of debt and another 2 billion will be paid off in the next six months out of cash flow. This will throw almost a billion to the bottom line earnings (12% increase to earnings without doing a damn thing different) 2. They increased their presence in the Permian basin with the purchase of Crown. Crowns operating costs were too high. They needed oil at 80 a barrel to make real money. Oxy needs it around 45. With the purchase, Oxy turned on half of crowns assets. This will throw another billion to the bottom line. 3. Their LNG and chemicals division is growing and as LNG rebounds from the synthetic supply flush from the government , this division will throw off another 500mm in cash.
So earnings should double in the next 18 months. They trade at a P.E of 14. That’s extremely cheap considering their growth profile. Recently the stock has dipped after incredible earnings. That’s because subsidiaries and crown sold off the shares they were given during the acquisitions. The market was flushed with 40mm shares this week priced around 35. It’s going to snap back up to 67 in the next two weeks. Grab calls now! In 24 months this will be 125.
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