Based on Elliott Wave Theory, if we are indeed in wave iv (the corrective wave), it is often a retracement before the final wave v, which would be an upward movement. This could make a long position attractive if several conditions align to confirm this theory. Here’s a more detailed breakdown considering wave iv:
Key Considerations for Wave iv:
1. Elliott Wave Theory:
Wave iv is typically a corrective wave within an uptrend, and it usually retraces a portion of wave iii.
Following this correction, wave v would ideally continue the uptrend, making this a potential good entry point for a long position if wave iv completes soon.
2. Support and EMAs:
The current price near the EMA 50 and the lower trend line of the ascending channel suggests a strong support zone.
If this support holds, it can be an indication that the corrective wave iv is ending, and wave v is about to begin.
3. LBR-ThreeTen Oscillator:
While the oscillator is currently bearish, it is worth watching for any bullish crossover or movement towards the zero line as a confirmation of upward momentum resuming.
4. Volume:
Look for increasing volume on green candles, especially near support zones, to confirm buying interest returning.
Trading Strategy for a Safe Long:
1. Entry Point:
Enter a long position near the lower trend line and EMA 50 if you see signs of support holding (such as a bullish reversal candlestick pattern).
Consider entering incrementally to manage risk better, as the price action confirms support.
2. Confirmation:
Wait for signals such as bullish candlestick formations (e.g., hammer, engulfing), increased buying volume, and positive movement in the oscillator.
Ensure the price does not break below the key support level around $0.075.
3. Stop-loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the strong support level (e.g., $0.073) to minimize risk if the support fails.
4. Targets:
Initial targets can be set near recent highs around the previous peak (approximately $0.09 - $0.10).
Further targets could aim towards the upper trend line of the ascending channel, depending on the strength of wave v.
Example Plan
Entry: Buy near $0.077 - $0.080 if confirmation signals present.
Stop-loss: Set at $0.073 to protect against significant downside.
Target 1: $0.09 (previous high).
Target 2: Upper channel line (around $0.10 or more).
Conclusion
While a corrective wave iv does suggest a potential for a subsequent wave v upward movement, it's essential to use prudent risk management and wait for confirmation signals. Entering a long trade at the current price levels near key support, with proper stop-loss and defined targets, could provide a safe and structured way to attempt capitalizing on the next upward wave v.