Counter-terrorism-software giant Palantir Technologies 
PLTR rose more than 500% between April 2024 and its February 2025 peak, sank some 47% from there to its April low, then rebounded 47% intraday between April 7 and April 16. What does technical and fundamental analysis say could happen next?
Let’s take a look:
Palantir’s Fundamental Analysis
PLTR rose sharply last Monday and Tuesday (April 14-15) after the U.S.-helmed NATO military alliance disclosed that it has finalized a deal to buy Palantir’s Maven Smart System.
NATO officials said the contract marked a significant advancement in modernizing the alliance’s warfighting capabilities.
Ludwig Decamps, general manager of the NATO Communications and Information Agency, said he sees the deal as “providing customized, state-of-the-art AI capabilities to the Alliance and empowering our forces with the tools required on the modern battlefield to operate effectively and decisively.”
NATO expects to employ the new technology within 30 days, adding that the procurement process took just six months from defining the requirement to full adoption.
NATO Chief of Staff General Markus Laubenthal said the new system “enables the alliance to leverage complex data, accelerate decision-making and by doing so, adds a true operational value."
Meanwhile, Palantir expects to release first-quarter earnings on or about May 6.
The Street is looking for $0.07 in GAAP earnings per share and $0.13 in adjusted EPS on some $874 million of revenues.
That would represent more than 36% in year-over-year revenue growth and a 62.5% increase in adjusted EPS when compared to the $0.08 that PLTR reported in the same quarter last year. (Management has most recently guided Q1 revenues to an $860 million midpoint.)
A 62.5% year-over-year revenue gain would represent the fifth straight quarter of acceleration in y/y sales growth when compared to the 19.6%, 20.8%, 27.2% and 30% gains Palantir has seen over the past four quarters.
In fact, all 11 sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock have increased their earnings estimates for Palantir since the current quarter began.
Palantir’s Fundamental Analysis
Next, let’s look at PLTR’s chart going back some three months:
Readers will see that PLTR broke out of a so-called “Falling Wedge” pattern of bullish reversal last week on April 9 (as denoted by the red box in the chart above).
That occurred on the day when President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on some of his tariffs, sending stocks soaring. PLTR gained 19% that day.
The stock also took back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line) on April 9. That probably brought at least some swing traders on board.
However, Palantir initially failed to break its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted by a blue line). Still, the stock managed to take that 50-day SMA last Monday (April 14).
Taking the 50-day SMA was critical technically speaking, as it would have likely forced portfolio managers to increase their Palantir long exposure. The 50-day line then acted as support for PLTR for the next few sessions.
Separately, Palantir’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) has remained stronger than "neutral" since the stock’s big April 9 run-up.
Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom), is now very close to bullish.
Within that MACD, the 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) has moved back above the zero-bound, while the 12-day EMA (the black line) has crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). Only the 26-day EMA is still in negative territory.
If all three components move above the zero-bound and the 12-day line stays above the 26-day line, that would be historically positive from a technical perspective.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long PLTR at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
PLTR rose more than 500% between April 2024 and its February 2025 peak, sank some 47% from there to its April low, then rebounded 47% intraday between April 7 and April 16. What does technical and fundamental analysis say could happen next?Let’s take a look:
Palantir’s Fundamental Analysis
PLTR rose sharply last Monday and Tuesday (April 14-15) after the U.S.-helmed NATO military alliance disclosed that it has finalized a deal to buy Palantir’s Maven Smart System.
NATO officials said the contract marked a significant advancement in modernizing the alliance’s warfighting capabilities.
Ludwig Decamps, general manager of the NATO Communications and Information Agency, said he sees the deal as “providing customized, state-of-the-art AI capabilities to the Alliance and empowering our forces with the tools required on the modern battlefield to operate effectively and decisively.”
NATO expects to employ the new technology within 30 days, adding that the procurement process took just six months from defining the requirement to full adoption.
NATO Chief of Staff General Markus Laubenthal said the new system “enables the alliance to leverage complex data, accelerate decision-making and by doing so, adds a true operational value."
Meanwhile, Palantir expects to release first-quarter earnings on or about May 6.
The Street is looking for $0.07 in GAAP earnings per share and $0.13 in adjusted EPS on some $874 million of revenues.
That would represent more than 36% in year-over-year revenue growth and a 62.5% increase in adjusted EPS when compared to the $0.08 that PLTR reported in the same quarter last year. (Management has most recently guided Q1 revenues to an $860 million midpoint.)
A 62.5% year-over-year revenue gain would represent the fifth straight quarter of acceleration in y/y sales growth when compared to the 19.6%, 20.8%, 27.2% and 30% gains Palantir has seen over the past four quarters.
In fact, all 11 sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock have increased their earnings estimates for Palantir since the current quarter began.
Palantir’s Fundamental Analysis
Next, let’s look at PLTR’s chart going back some three months:
Readers will see that PLTR broke out of a so-called “Falling Wedge” pattern of bullish reversal last week on April 9 (as denoted by the red box in the chart above).
That occurred on the day when President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on some of his tariffs, sending stocks soaring. PLTR gained 19% that day.
The stock also took back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line) on April 9. That probably brought at least some swing traders on board.
However, Palantir initially failed to break its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted by a blue line). Still, the stock managed to take that 50-day SMA last Monday (April 14).
Taking the 50-day SMA was critical technically speaking, as it would have likely forced portfolio managers to increase their Palantir long exposure. The 50-day line then acted as support for PLTR for the next few sessions.
Separately, Palantir’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) has remained stronger than "neutral" since the stock’s big April 9 run-up.
Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom), is now very close to bullish.
Within that MACD, the 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) has moved back above the zero-bound, while the 12-day EMA (the black line) has crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). Only the 26-day EMA is still in negative territory.
If all three components move above the zero-bound and the 12-day line stays above the 26-day line, that would be historically positive from a technical perspective.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long PLTR at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.