Company Overview:
This company stands as a global leader in the gold industry, with a unique presence throughout the entire gold value chain, from refining to retailing.
Remarkably, it processes a substantial 35% of the world's gold production and serves as the largest exporter of gold products from India.
The company's operational and research and development facilities are based in Bangalore, India, while its main refining facility is located in Balerna, Switzerland.
Notably, it maintains an extensive design portfolio with 29,000 active jewelry designs, distributed through wholesale and retail channels.
Financial Strength and Valuation:
The company's financial performance is above average, which has led to an average valuation.
Despite a decline in the Rajesh Exports share price over the year, the earnings per share (EPS) has actually improved.
The past growth expectations may have been overly optimistic, and it's essential to acknowledge that the company is nearly debt-free.
Risk Factors:
The primary risk factor lies in the cyclical nature of the gold business.
Accounting-related concerns occasionally arise without comprehensive clarification from the promoters.
Being export-oriented, the company is susceptible to global market and export-related issues that can impact its business.
Stakeholder Interests:
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) hold a significant stake in the company, with FIIs owning 15.38% and DIIs holding 10.98%.
Promoters demonstrate confidence by maintaining a 54.05% holding, while the remaining 19.49% is in the hands of retailers.
Over the past two quarters, FIIs reduced their stake from 17.60% to 15.38%, and DIIs from 11.18% to 10.98%, which may have contributed to recent stock price fluctuations.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, the stock is at attractive buying levels, given its position at the lower end of the channel.
Historical price action suggests a probable consolidation pattern forming on the weekly time frame before a potential move towards the channel's upper boundary.
The plan is to monitor this pattern in the coming weeks to consider additional position adjustments.
Investment Strategy:
Considering the overall assessment, there is potential for this stock to become a multi-bagger. However, it's vital to acknowledge associated risks.
An initial position of approximately 0.625% of capital has been taken, with the possibility of adding more in the future based on technical or fundamental conviction.
In summary, Rajesh Exports' unique position in the gold industry, coupled with strong financials, makes it an appealing investment. However, investors should be mindful of inherent risks and stay vigilant while considering future adjustments to their positions.