Here’s my observation: the mining company might not be able to generate substantial revenue going forward. This is because once the halving occurs, the rewards for each block are halved. Moreover, if they continue mining with their current equipment, it may no longer be profitable unless they increase the hash rate. However, this will incur additional costs for the company. Furthermore, electricity costs are not decreasing, which would add more expenses to the company’s operations.
On the other hand, if the Federal Reserve (FED) remains hawkish, it could instill fear in the entire asset market. While this might not be the biggest factor, the Bitcoin (BTC) halving could trigger a significant rally if liquidity is withdrawn from bonds or becomes cheaper due to a decrease in discount rates.