I expect some continuation from this recent rally. The percentage of SPX stocks trading above their 50-day MA is now bouncing from being too far below the lower band of the channel I have defined.
Annotated on the chart are the previous times it significantly breached the lower band.
MACD histogram turning green with MACD line curling up for a cross. RSI bounced and has some momentum. Next test at 50.
Bar some terrible news from Ukraine or Taiwan, we should see some of this momentum carry the market higher. For how long? Unclear. I would like to see RSP start to outperform SPY to signify broad strength opposed to a few names carrying the entire index (not sustainable or healthy).
Note
Dead wrong on this one. Oops.
Lesson: if you think a historical low is low, it can still go lower
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