SHIB / TetherUS
Long

#SHIBUSDT Weekly Outlook โ€” Mid-Cycle Reversal or Final Retest?

708
๐Ÿพ #SHIBUSDT Weekly Outlook โ€” Mid-Cycle Reversal or Final Retest?
๐Ÿ—“ Published: May 10, 2025
๐Ÿ“Š Timeframe: 1W | Exchange: Binance
Author: HamadaMark

๐Ÿ” Market Structure Overview
SHIB has completed a multi-year macro compression phase and is currently retesting the mid-cycle support zone, holding above critical levels for now. The chart now reflects two scenarios merging:

A descending macro channel

A forming double bottom reversal near key historical demand

๐Ÿ“Œ Observed Patterns:
โœ… Macro descending channel
โœ… Higher low structure vs. 2022โ€“2023 base
โœ… Failed breakdown attempt below $0.00001073
โœ… Fibonacci levels and price memory still respected

๐ŸŸฆ Key Support Levels:
Main Support Zone: $0.00001103 โ€“ $0.00001073

Last Defense / Panic Level: $0.00000535
๐Ÿ“› Breakdown here = cycle invalidation, opens risk for full reset

Lower Historic Floor: $0.00000510 (cycle base)

๐ŸŽฏ Bullish Reversal Targets (Fib-Based):
TP1: $0.00001761 โ€“ Previous neckline zone

TP2: $0.00002828 โ€“ Channel midpoint / Fib 0.786

TP3: $0.00004176 โ€“ Macro W-pattern measured move

TP4: $0.00005842 โ€“ Fib 1.618 (Breakout extension)

TP5: $0.00008555 โ€“ 2.618 (2021 ATH retest territory)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Potential upside: +200% to +400% if structure holds

๐Ÿง  Strategy Insight
โ€ข Long-term buyers may DCA in the blue zone
โ€ข Higher probability entries on reclaim of $0.000017โ€“$0.000020
โ€ข Full confirmation only if SHIB breaks above $0.00002828 with volume
โ€ข Panic below $0.00000535 = invalidation of long-term accumulation thesis

๐Ÿ’ก SHIB has historically delivered explosive returns after long consolidations โ€” the current zone mirrors past setups.

๐Ÿ—ฃ Whatโ€™s Next?
If bulls hold $0.000011โ€“$0.000015 and reclaim mid-range resistances, we enter the next cycle phase.
A W-reversal is forming โ€” neckline breakout will flip sentiment across the market.

๐Ÿ“ข This is SHIB's final test โ€” hold the base, and meme season returns. Lose it, and lights go off for a while.

we ask Allah reconcile and repay

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