Sanity Check: Channeling Silver's Recent (+ not so recent) Moves
Updated
Channels are an incredible tool for technical analysis. Today we're going to put them to the test with the recent moves up in silver, as it looks like the precious metal is currently sitting at a decision point that can (still) go either way.
MEASURING IMPLICATIONS OF CHANNELS
The real power of channeling is greater than just working with a supportive/resistive trend line; there are measuring implications that are often remarkably accurate in forecasting. Once a (valid) channel is broken, tested, and confirmed to have broken, the subsequent move is usually between .5-1.0 the width of the broken channel. You can think of that .5 level as a micro channel within a channel.
Depending on this week's close outside of the bullish channel, we can safely say the weight of evidence lies in favor of bullish continuation. If that does indeed materialize, silver could have an incredible run just around the corner, especially as markets continue to price out cuts.
**Two partial retraces are circled to illustrate their significance in indicating a faltering channel. Important to note that the first circle (the bearish partial retrace) is only useful in hindsight, as the uppermost channel was not valid at the time.
MEASURING IMPLICATIONS OF CHANNELS
The real power of channeling is greater than just working with a supportive/resistive trend line; there are measuring implications that are often remarkably accurate in forecasting. Once a (valid) channel is broken, tested, and confirmed to have broken, the subsequent move is usually between .5-1.0 the width of the broken channel. You can think of that .5 level as a micro channel within a channel.
Depending on this week's close outside of the bullish channel, we can safely say the weight of evidence lies in favor of bullish continuation. If that does indeed materialize, silver could have an incredible run just around the corner, especially as markets continue to price out cuts.
**Two partial retraces are circled to illustrate their significance in indicating a faltering channel. Important to note that the first circle (the bearish partial retrace) is only useful in hindsight, as the uppermost channel was not valid at the time.
Trade active
Looking like a local high may have been set this week. On retrace watch for $26.5-$28.1 buy box.
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