Silver Likely to See a Pullback Near-Term
Silver has seen an unexpected rally to most and continues to show strength as holdings of silver-backed ETFs reach all-time highs. Since posting "Potential Inflection in SLV: Price Action and Options," (under CommoditiesTrader) SLV is up almost 22 percent.
However, near-term there will be a correction to work off the overbought conditions.
Of course, precious metals will move with headlines. Given the sharp two-day decline, the SLV looks promising between $15.90 and $15.60. If traders sell through the secondary uptrend near $15.60, we could see further selling to $15.
It's important to remember the risk is dynamic. Traders will flock to the safe-haven aspect of silver if more troubling news surface about European banks, Brexit and, simply, slowing growth.
A correction will only be healthy going forward. The weekly chart shows at $17 is a tough nut to crack - only seeing one close above this level since January '15.
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However, near-term there will be a correction to work off the overbought conditions.
- The RSI was quite elevated at 77, while the z-score hit a near-term high of 2.9
- The +/-DMI is showing that price action still remains positive but the ADX is beginning to tick lower.
- The stochastic indicator is currently over bought at 87.51/93.26
Of course, precious metals will move with headlines. Given the sharp two-day decline, the SLV looks promising between $15.90 and $15.60. If traders sell through the secondary uptrend near $15.60, we could see further selling to $15.
It's important to remember the risk is dynamic. Traders will flock to the safe-haven aspect of silver if more troubling news surface about European banks, Brexit and, simply, slowing growth.
A correction will only be healthy going forward. The weekly chart shows at $17 is a tough nut to crack - only seeing one close above this level since January '15.
For more information on MacroView's products, or general questions and comments, feel free to message us.
Also, readers are encouraged to post their thoughts and charts!
Follow MacroView CoFounders on TWTR @Lemieux_26 and EconomicHedge
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