VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Long
Updated

Semiconductors ready for the next leg up - Zoom out !!!

110
#FACTS
-Breakout in SMH was 11 years back around 2014 and uptrend started
-Last 10 years SMH just cannot be under the 200WSMA for long time
-Since 2015 the bottom is at 0.5 fib retrace & takes 9 months + atleast 25% Pullback

What are other confirming signals
-SOXL 3x leveraged etf just had 2 days of Highest Volumes ever ! (leveraged funds arent good for charting but volume is a wake up slap in the face !)
Last time that volume on soxl was 2020 bottom 2022 bottom so 2025 bottom ? MAYBE ?

Got in SOXL at $9-$10, once confirmed I will scale in for a swing
Trade active
Looks like it held the levels and I scaled out entirely of the SOXL positions but will scaled in SMH now and on pull backs will add back a new position of $SOXL. This looks healthy for now. 9 months is the consolidation before hte breakout for the uptrend to start just like the last 4 times. Lets get it. SMH stop loss $200 and will cut if 20EMA breaks.

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