SNAP is currently down -35% in 52 days since last earnings on Aug. 7, 2018 when SNAP reported -0.27eps vs est. -0.31eps.
This is an analysis of price movement between earnings periods. Aug. 10, 2017 - Nov. 7, 2017 - Aug. 10, 2017 Reported -0.36eps vs est. -0.30eps Earnings to earnings, price increased +13.7% (13.42 -> 15.26)
Nov. 7, 2017 - Feb. 6, 2018 Nov. 7, 2017 Reported -0.36eps vs est. -0.32eps - -19% the next 3 days - +31% the next 34 days - -17.4% the next 47 days - +3.2% last 7 days to next earnings Earnings to earnings, price dropped -9.96% (15.26 -> 13.74)
Feb. 6, 2018 - May 1, 2018 Feb. 6, 2018 Reported -0.28eps vs est. -0.33eps - +50% Price increase the next day - -32% the next 55 days - +12% the next 20 days - -11.5% last 7 days to earnings Earnings to earnings, price increased +1.24% (13.74 -> 13.91)
May 1, 2018 - Aug. 7, 2018 May. 1, 2018 Reported -0.30eps vs est. -0.29eps - -23.3% the next 2 days - -1.10% the next 26 days - +34.2% the next 19 days - -7% the last 50 days to earnings Earnings to earnings, price dropped -5.37% (13.91 -> 13.17)
August 7, 2018 - Nov. 8, 2018 Aug. 7, 2018 Reported -0.27eps vs est. -0.31eps - -6.85% the next day - -26% next 34 days - -6.8% next 16 days Currently SNAP is at 8.45 Looking at previous movements between earnings, it is possible for the price to move up +34% to 11.32 by Nov. 8, 2018 Earnings. This would put the earnings to earnings at a price drop -14.05% (13.17 -> 11.32)
BUT THAT ISN'T THE WSB WAY. SNAP TO EARTH'S CORE!!!!!
The other completely irrational analysis made by looking at bars on a chart is that SNAP will be at the 7.23 - 6.65 range by Nov. 8, 2018. This would put my made up, earnings to earnings price, at a drop of around -40% - -50%
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