Crypto Catastrophe Planning (Sol, Luna and ADA/Cardano)
I have spent some time looking at the dollar (DXY, see the linked Idea please) and it has a lot of upside potential based on some simple TA on the monthly time frame. Based on that potential prolonged dollar strength I think some crypto Crypto Catastrophe Planning is in order.
Last bear market one of my favorite analysts, Francis Hunte, called his XRPBTC short the gift that keeps on giving due to its continued downtrend trend on the weekly. Of course you don't get the same gains perhaps as being in and out of bounces on XRPUSD but you save yourself a lot of mental energy from the chop up and down that we see below. XRPUSD rallied less than BTCUSD, which means a red day/weeks for XRPBTC, and it dumped more than BTCUSD, which means another red day or week for XRPBTC. An entry within the blue triangle of XRPBTC looking for a break down would have been very profitable for the patient.
If we take the same idea for our catastrophe planning we would be looking for structures that we can play technically for entries that could pay out for the next six to nine months, or even longer. Cardano is in a rising wedge with three touches on the support and 2 touches on the top. That gives us a structure to play very technically. SolBTC has popped out of a rising wedge. That is very much blow off top behavior and often we see price action find tenuous support on previous resistance before falling through the wedge. Then price action has a chance to turn previous wedge support into resistance.
I have taken a short on ADAUSD due to the weakness I see on the daily chart for both ADAUSD and ADABTC with a stop loss taken at the high. I have two flat topped red HA candles and I will be looking for the wedge break down. If I see the ADABTC wedge breaking down I will put on a ADABTC short
SOLUSD is likewise popping out of its rising wedge but hasn't shown the weakens I want for a short just yet. There is a pregnant HA candle so I could go in with a sell stop but Imma hold off SolUSD and SolBTC shorts for now
LunaUSD looks very primed for a move to the downside. It is in a rising wedge and has bearish divergence on the 8 hour time frame. Once we see some downward movement we can evaluate if we think it will be prolonged or perhaps continue to chop. I am holding off on shorting for now.
Last bear market one of my favorite analysts, Francis Hunte, called his XRPBTC short the gift that keeps on giving due to its continued downtrend trend on the weekly. Of course you don't get the same gains perhaps as being in and out of bounces on XRPUSD but you save yourself a lot of mental energy from the chop up and down that we see below. XRPUSD rallied less than BTCUSD, which means a red day/weeks for XRPBTC, and it dumped more than BTCUSD, which means another red day or week for XRPBTC. An entry within the blue triangle of XRPBTC looking for a break down would have been very profitable for the patient.
If we take the same idea for our catastrophe planning we would be looking for structures that we can play technically for entries that could pay out for the next six to nine months, or even longer. Cardano is in a rising wedge with three touches on the support and 2 touches on the top. That gives us a structure to play very technically. SolBTC has popped out of a rising wedge. That is very much blow off top behavior and often we see price action find tenuous support on previous resistance before falling through the wedge. Then price action has a chance to turn previous wedge support into resistance.
I have taken a short on ADAUSD due to the weakness I see on the daily chart for both ADAUSD and ADABTC with a stop loss taken at the high. I have two flat topped red HA candles and I will be looking for the wedge break down. If I see the ADABTC wedge breaking down I will put on a ADABTC short
SOLUSD is likewise popping out of its rising wedge but hasn't shown the weakens I want for a short just yet. There is a pregnant HA candle so I could go in with a sell stop but Imma hold off SolUSD and SolBTC shorts for now
LunaUSD looks very primed for a move to the downside. It is in a rising wedge and has bearish divergence on the 8 hour time frame. Once we see some downward movement we can evaluate if we think it will be prolonged or perhaps continue to chop. I am holding off on shorting for now.
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