The SOL/USD weekly chart highlights strong bullish momentum as Solana reaches a pivotal resistance zone around its previous all-time high. While price action remains within an ascending channel, the RSI indicates overbought conditions on both daily and weekly timeframes. This suggests a critical juncture where Solana could either pull back for a healthy correction or break out if the resistance flips into support.
Key Observations: 1. Ascending Channel Formation: • SOL remains confined within a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows indicating a long-term uptrend. • Current price action is nearing the upper boundary of the channel, where previous resistance levels may play a crucial role in dictating the next move. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): • RSI on the weekly timeframe has entered overbought territory (>70), reflecting strong momentum but also cautioning traders of a potential pullback. • Historically, overbought RSI conditions have coincided with local tops before corrections, warranting close monitoring for signs of weakness. 3. Key Resistance and Support Levels: • Resistance: SOL is challenging its previous all-time high near $240 - $250. This level could act as a major inflection point; a successful flip to support may signal the continuation of the uptrend. • Support: Immediate support lies at $200, with stronger levels around $160 and $130. A breakdown below these zones could jeopardize the bullish structure. 4. Volume and Momentum: • Volume has increased during upward moves, supporting the ongoing bullish trend. However, divergence between price and volume near overbought conditions could signal exhaustion.
Possible Scenarios: • Bullish Case: If SOL can decisively break above the $240 - $250 resistance zone and establish support, the price could rally toward $300 or even test the upper boundary of the ascending channel around $320. • Bearish Case: Failure to break resistance or rejection at current levels may lead to a pullback toward $200 or lower. If momentum weakens, price could test $160 or the channel’s lower boundary near $130.
Conclusion: SOL/USD is at a critical juncture as it approaches its previous all-time high. Overbought RSI levels suggest caution, but the potential for a breakout remains if resistance flips into support. Monitoring price action at $240 - $250 and the RSI’s response to these levels will be key to identifying the next significant move.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before making any trades.
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