The Sol price action has been extremely bullish today, as price has firmly Broken out of the pennant formation as discussed in my previous article. Although this move is bullish, there is still some way to go before we are able to see prices as high as $200, however, it is inevitable. In the following statements I will discuss my bullish perspective.
Double bottom formation: as seen using the Elliot wave indicator I have outlined the structure of a DB formation. This particular formation holds additional bullish sentiment based on the fact that it was formed leading to a tight squeeze of the larger time frame bullish pennant. This scenario generally tends to hold much greater likelihood of bullish movements to come.
My target for the double bottom is set at $180, which seems like an easy target considering market sentiment, however, price is currently resting between two key levels of support and resistance drawn using the fib retracement, 0.50 ($165) and my golden ratio of 0.618 ($175.50) and 0.65 ($178.34).
If we are able to hold strongly above the 165 level and even possibly retrace down to strengthen support at that level, the likelihood of success will increase. expect to see consolidation within this range prior to a breakout. Consolidation would be the healthier alternative to a clean break.
The lowest ill allow price action to move before shifting towards a bearish sentiment would be the fib 0.382 ($154.51) which is the base of the double bottom formation. A great stop loss area would be around the $150-152 range.
Zooming out to the pennant formation. In order to be more confident in the formation, price action would have to retrace wicking near the formations level of support turning to resistance for the breakout to be valid. If my projections are correct the validity of the pennant breakout will result in a move to roughly $226 as discussed in my previous article.
in conclusion watch for any moves between the 165 and 178 levels as that would roughly indicate a strong move in either direction, however, prices as low as 155 are still justifiable and arent bearish yet.
Thank you for reading this far, I hope you were able to get some insightful information to aid your pre-existing market analysis! Remember everything I say is NOT financial advice and should be taken with a grain of salt.