Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off this Friday morning with a deep dive into Solana, one of my favorite coins! 😊 In this analysis, I’m breaking down the charts, spotting spot and futures triggers, and exploring what’s next for SOL. Stick with me to the end, and we’ll grow together! <3 Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
We’re riding a solid upward channel on Solana’s daily chart. The price has reacted beautifully to the ceiling, floor, and especially the midline, which gives this channel a ton of credibility—we can trust it. After a strong price surge starting October 20 and running through January 25, we entered a price correction. I expected a pullback to 80.78, but we corrected to 95.15 instead. Now, we’ve formed a head and shoulders pattern, and the neckline has broken, activating the pattern. This pattern, at the end of a correction, signals a trend reversal and a continuation of the major uptrend. The target for this pattern is the height from the head to the neckline, which takes us to 202.82—coincidentally, a key resistance level ahead. I expect we might range around that level or, if we break it, it’ll likely be a sharp and messy move. So, plan ahead to avoid FOMO or making rash moves. Our spot entry was at 151.78, but a break above 202.82 could be another solid trigger, with a stop loss below the support at 147.97. Don’t FOMO—wait for confirmations from SOL/BTC and Bitcoin’s action. Volume is your friend for spotting momentum, so keep a close eye on it. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After breaking the 153.29 resistance, we saw a nice rally, but then we hit some turbulence. If you look closely, the market seems to have formed a symmetrical triangle—the worst pattern for breakout and momentum-based strategies. Why? The market doesn’t care about support or resistance here, making it tough to tell if moves are fake or real. So, what’s the plan?
Let’s drop to the 1-Hour Timeframe.
The last level we got rejected from was 174.51. If we revisit this level with rising volume and candles showing buyer strength—think good lower shadows and strong green bodies with high closes—it means sellers pushed the price down, but buyers stepped in and drove it back up. If you see this setup and we break the 174.51 resistance, you can open a long position. For shorts, since the major and secondary trends are uptrends, I’m not giving any short triggers—it’s completely against the trend, and the risk of hitting a stop loss is way too high. Be patient. Wait for this uptrend to fake out and drop below 149.07—then we’ll hunt for shorts. 🙂 Let’s also take a quick look at SOL/BTC.
SOL/BTC Analysis
On the daily timeframe, we’ve got a clean head and shoulders pattern for SOL/BTC, with the neckline broken and a pullback to it now. This could lead to a strong rally moving forward, provided it’s not a fakeout and we don’t fall back below the support at 0.0015043. What does this mean? If the market stays in an uptrend, Solana could outperform Bitcoin. And if BTC.D is dropping during a market rally, Solana could see some serious growth. That’s the Solana breakdown! If you’ve got your own technical or fundamental analysis on this coin, I’d love to hear it—drop it in the comments so we can grow together! 😄
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
We’re riding a solid upward channel on Solana’s daily chart. The price has reacted beautifully to the ceiling, floor, and especially the midline, which gives this channel a ton of credibility—we can trust it. After a strong price surge starting October 20 and running through January 25, we entered a price correction. I expected a pullback to 80.78, but we corrected to 95.15 instead. Now, we’ve formed a head and shoulders pattern, and the neckline has broken, activating the pattern. This pattern, at the end of a correction, signals a trend reversal and a continuation of the major uptrend. The target for this pattern is the height from the head to the neckline, which takes us to 202.82—coincidentally, a key resistance level ahead. I expect we might range around that level or, if we break it, it’ll likely be a sharp and messy move. So, plan ahead to avoid FOMO or making rash moves. Our spot entry was at 151.78, but a break above 202.82 could be another solid trigger, with a stop loss below the support at 147.97. Don’t FOMO—wait for confirmations from SOL/BTC and Bitcoin’s action. Volume is your friend for spotting momentum, so keep a close eye on it. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After breaking the 153.29 resistance, we saw a nice rally, but then we hit some turbulence. If you look closely, the market seems to have formed a symmetrical triangle—the worst pattern for breakout and momentum-based strategies. Why? The market doesn’t care about support or resistance here, making it tough to tell if moves are fake or real. So, what’s the plan?
Let’s drop to the 1-Hour Timeframe.
The last level we got rejected from was 174.51. If we revisit this level with rising volume and candles showing buyer strength—think good lower shadows and strong green bodies with high closes—it means sellers pushed the price down, but buyers stepped in and drove it back up. If you see this setup and we break the 174.51 resistance, you can open a long position. For shorts, since the major and secondary trends are uptrends, I’m not giving any short triggers—it’s completely against the trend, and the risk of hitting a stop loss is way too high. Be patient. Wait for this uptrend to fake out and drop below 149.07—then we’ll hunt for shorts. 🙂 Let’s also take a quick look at SOL/BTC.
SOL/BTC Analysis
On the daily timeframe, we’ve got a clean head and shoulders pattern for SOL/BTC, with the neckline broken and a pullback to it now. This could lead to a strong rally moving forward, provided it’s not a fakeout and we don’t fall back below the support at 0.0015043. What does this mean? If the market stays in an uptrend, Solana could outperform Bitcoin. And if BTC.D is dropping during a market rally, Solana could see some serious growth. That’s the Solana breakdown! If you’ve got your own technical or fundamental analysis on this coin, I’d love to hear it—drop it in the comments so we can grow together! 😄
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.