Solana’s Silent Crisis: Why Addresses Diminish While Price Holds
Something unusual is happening in the Solana ecosystem. While SOL’s price has climbed from $161 to $197, its active user base has dropped by more than 50%. Just a few months ago, in October 2024, Solana’s network saw 18.5 million active addresses, a sign of robust engagement. But fast forward to February 2025, and that number has plunged to 8.4 million.
This raises an important question: Why is Solana’s price rising while user participation is falling?
The Disconnect Between Price and Network Activity
At first glance, a price increase would suggest growing interest and adoption. But here’s the twist: SOL’s value appears to be driven by fewer, but more committed investors, rather than broad-based usage growth.
🔹 Declining Engagement – Fewer transactions, less activity, and a shrinking user base.
🔹 Rising Prices – A sign that major investors and institutions, rather than retail traders, could be accumulating SOL.
The Technical Picture: A Market at a Crossroads
Beyond network activity, technical indicators reveal a market in limbo.
📊 RSI at 32.16 – Just above the oversold threshold (30), meaning buyers could step in soon.
📊 Money Flow Index (MFI) at 39.98 – Money isn’t aggressively leaving SOL, but it isn’t pouring in either.
📊 Open Interest Down 2.23% – Fewer traders are taking new positions, suggesting hesitation.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Solana’s next moves will depend on how it interacts with these crucial levels:
📌 Resistance: $180 and $200 – A sustained move above $180, especially if RSI crosses 40, could signal a recovery.
📌 Support: $170 and $160 – If selling pressure intensifies, SOL could retest these lower zones.
Where Does Solana Go From Here?
Is Solana becoming a blockchain for whales and institutions rather than everyday users? Or is this just a temporary lull before a fresh wave of adoption?
For now, SOL’s price remains resilient, but without renewed on-chain activity, the rally may not last. If open interest and network participation rebound, Solana could be setting up for its next major move.
This raises an important question: Why is Solana’s price rising while user participation is falling?
The Disconnect Between Price and Network Activity
At first glance, a price increase would suggest growing interest and adoption. But here’s the twist: SOL’s value appears to be driven by fewer, but more committed investors, rather than broad-based usage growth.
🔹 Declining Engagement – Fewer transactions, less activity, and a shrinking user base.
🔹 Rising Prices – A sign that major investors and institutions, rather than retail traders, could be accumulating SOL.
The Technical Picture: A Market at a Crossroads
Beyond network activity, technical indicators reveal a market in limbo.
📊 RSI at 32.16 – Just above the oversold threshold (30), meaning buyers could step in soon.
📊 Money Flow Index (MFI) at 39.98 – Money isn’t aggressively leaving SOL, but it isn’t pouring in either.
📊 Open Interest Down 2.23% – Fewer traders are taking new positions, suggesting hesitation.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Solana’s next moves will depend on how it interacts with these crucial levels:
📌 Resistance: $180 and $200 – A sustained move above $180, especially if RSI crosses 40, could signal a recovery.
📌 Support: $170 and $160 – If selling pressure intensifies, SOL could retest these lower zones.
Where Does Solana Go From Here?
Is Solana becoming a blockchain for whales and institutions rather than everyday users? Or is this just a temporary lull before a fresh wave of adoption?
For now, SOL’s price remains resilient, but without renewed on-chain activity, the rally may not last. If open interest and network participation rebound, Solana could be setting up for its next major move.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.