Respecting the bearish channel in SPX - SHORTS THROUGH 2685

Updated
Trade set up: Our bias leans towards a short in the SPX, where we are looking for a break below the recent low of 2685 to enter the position. Upon this development, we would set a stop loss at 2725 and our take profit set at 2603. This profit target is subject to change and dependent on the price action, as a break of 2603 would hold huge bearish implications. We will update this idea as it plays out.

Why we like it: Technically the trade is pointing to a solid short opportunity – with the stochastic momentum heading lower, and short-term price analysis showing a series of lower lows and highs. The 5-day EMA has acted as dynamic resistance and contained the rallies of late. We also note the recent 8% relief rally reversed off the 61.8% Fib level.

Our view is to wait for a break of the 30 October high of 2685, as this would throw a probability of an extension of the bearish channel and suggest a move into the neckline of the recent double top at 2603.

Disclaimer.
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