$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.23.24

Tomorrow’s implied move in SPX is between 5815 and 5885. That range comes from options and the 30-day average daily volatility, which aligns with Thursday’s implied move of 5805 to 5895. The first level to watch is the 35 EMA, which is cutting right across the trading range. It was below us at yesterday’s close, but depending on where futures open, it could be to the upside. Definitely keep an eye on that level.

The next level of resistance is around 5870. We briefly got above this level to make all-time highs at 5878.37, and we’ve seen it hold as resistance before and after making those all-time highs last week. If we get above 5870, the next target is the all-time high, with 5885 as the top of the implied move. 5895 is the top of the implied move on Thursday’s contract.

To the downside, if we can’t hold the 35 EMA, the next level to watch is 5825, which acted as support on both Monday and Tuesday. Below that, 5815 is the bottom of the implied move, and 5805 is the bottom of Thursday’s implied move. We also have the 30-minute 200 MA near the bottom of the trading range for the next two days, and with momentum still positive, that level could give us a technical bounce. Pair that with the support from last week around 5815, and it’s a good spot for a potential bounce.
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