The S&P 500 has been falling swiftly, but it may be considered oversold.
The first pattern on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the lower study. RSI slipped below 30 for the first time since October 2023. That could make some traders think it’s due for a potential bounce.
Next, the middle study includes our MA Distance custom script. It shows price dropped the furthest below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) since October 2022. That may also suggest it’s experienced a healthy pullback.
Third is July 5’s last price of 5567, which was the first weekly close in the second half of 2024. It became resistance in early August and support in two subsequent weeks. SPX held that level again yesterday, so it may be reemerging as a meaningful area.
If the index manages to stabilize here and rebound, how high might the bounce go? Traders could potentially look to the price zone between January 13's low of 5773 and the March 4 low of 5733. It’s also near the 200-day SMA.
Investors with a longer-term view may expect further volatility given the sharpness of the recent drop and the uncertainty caused by tariffs. That may prompt them to eye a deeper low around 5402, where SPX held in early September before breaking out to new highs.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on https://www.TradeStation.com/Important-Information/. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies for further important information explaining what this means.
The first pattern on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the lower study. RSI slipped below 30 for the first time since October 2023. That could make some traders think it’s due for a potential bounce.
Next, the middle study includes our MA Distance custom script. It shows price dropped the furthest below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) since October 2022. That may also suggest it’s experienced a healthy pullback.
Third is July 5’s last price of 5567, which was the first weekly close in the second half of 2024. It became resistance in early August and support in two subsequent weeks. SPX held that level again yesterday, so it may be reemerging as a meaningful area.
If the index manages to stabilize here and rebound, how high might the bounce go? Traders could potentially look to the price zone between January 13's low of 5773 and the March 4 low of 5733. It’s also near the 200-day SMA.
Investors with a longer-term view may expect further volatility given the sharpness of the recent drop and the uncertainty caused by tariffs. That may prompt them to eye a deeper low around 5402, where SPX held in early September before breaking out to new highs.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on https://www.TradeStation.com/Important-Information/. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies for further important information explaining what this means.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.