S&P 500 Index
Short

S&P Direction - Bounce back for a lower low?

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As I’ve posted on March 4th, I was expecting a second shoulder of the pattern (and then a sharp fall due to some news) and we were going to have it - the bounce back - until the tariff turbulance. A clear positive divergence of the RSI was appearing on the daily chart and the momentum has turned upwards. And then you know what happened. The sharp fall came a couple of weeks earlier than I’ve anticipated. The market will definitely bounce back but when and at what level? Nobody can know, however the artefacts will probably cause a lower low afterwards. Check out the pattern of the 2022 downtrend. The water seems to be muddy for a while.

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