Bumpy December 2019

Updated

Crash Late December 2019 Recover late 2020 then SPX goes to 3500

Note

As expected Feds dovish today...

Reminder: June trip to the Philippines & South Korea
Check (A) position before FOMC for possible swing to (B)

Note

Reminder: Finalize position prior to 2nd Trip to the Philippines by Aug.
Yield Curve and DAX looks nasty today. Possible start recession on Sept???
Bumpy ride might start early this year.

Note

Sept 2020 possible/probable recession?????
Check OC RE market.
3B/2B

Note

Probable recession 2020. May the odds be with me.

LA-->Jordan-->LA-->Phil-->S.Korea-->LA-->Phil-->LA-->Hawaii-->LA-->Canada-->LA

"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets."-BR

Note

Visiting Philippines and S.Korea next week whooohooo...thanks Tesla 360 paid our trip. I left 1 just for remembrance I'll sell it if I decide to get the real one. LOL! I might buy again at 50-100. Maybe?

FOMC meeting... Will the Fed cut rate? Market go up/down? BOND market is the BOSS in this situation FED should just follow.

US trade war with China/Mexico... Power/Politics is the main show in the next 12-18months. Popcorn time.

Market is pricing in..,
Safety or value? Sorry people you cant choose both in this market. Collect your dividend. Dont look at the stock price until 2021.

Reminder: China market is bleeding... anything thats related to China like ???

I need to pack my luggage...

Note

Finally...Ive heard that famous "initial rate cut" by the fed again. Lets party like 2001 & 2007. Is the 10yr bull enough to condition everyone that its ok to cut rate at the top of the market. WTF do I know.. FFS i still haven't pack my luggage...

Note

Melt up or a massive correction by the end of this month!!! July will REKT all Speculators!!!

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JAWBONE til SPX reach the moon!!! haha!

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99.9% will have rate cut next week. Unless the FED wants to pull the plug and crash the market.

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Yesterday the FED cut rate 25bps the market dropped. Today the market panic buy on hopes that the FED will follow a second cut. This market is insane. I sold my position(A) yesterday. I'll be in the Philippines for 2 weeks so I cant wait for Position (B). I'll wait for position (C). In the next 2 weeks Algo are gonna get crazy. US market is the only game in town.

Note

Here at LAX waiting for my flight in the Philippines. My anticipated position (C) might be closer and deeper. I guess my early sell last week was the right call after all. This market is nasty, POTUS might get his 100bp rate cut early. I promise to myself I wont check the market until I land back again in this airport 2 weeks from now. Im gonna enjoy my time with my parent and family I just wish my wife is with me too. Beach and seafood for 14days. Im out....

Note

TWIN BLACKSWANS: CORONA VIRUS and OIL WAR = CARNAGE!!!
US10Y less than 1...WOW!
Trade and stay safe everyone!!!
SPX 3500 next year or two.

petpau

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