Morgan Stanley predicted end of economic cycle in 2021. morganstanley.com/im/en-us/individual-investor/insights/macro-insights/when-will-the-cycle-end.html?cid=232071715:429615759:0
And it looks like a yield curve inversion will occur in 2019 or 2020. fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?id=T10Y3M
I combined the above ideas and drew a green line staying in the current bullish trend channel. I drew a red line showing a delayed bearish reaction after a yield curve inversion. Recessions usually follow 3-22 months after a yield curve inversion. The red line shows a drop to a support line by 2021 and then a rally in anticipation of a new economic cycle.
And it looks like a yield curve inversion will occur in 2019 or 2020. fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?id=T10Y3M
I combined the above ideas and drew a green line staying in the current bullish trend channel. I drew a red line showing a delayed bearish reaction after a yield curve inversion. Recessions usually follow 3-22 months after a yield curve inversion. The red line shows a drop to a support line by 2021 and then a rally in anticipation of a new economic cycle.
Note
This app makes a ten year forecast of S&P 500. It predicts a rise to 3200 in 2019 and then sideways market (between 3000 and 3400) until year 2028. play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.stocktrendadvancedIf the app's forecast came true, it would defy expectations of a bubble followed by a crash. However, the anticipated actions of the Federal Reserve actually could resist the bubble and resist the crash. So, it is possible to have a sideways market for a decade.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.